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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 19 December 14
HOW WILL LOWER BUNKER PRICES AFFECT THE SUBSTANTIAL OVERCAPACITY IN DRY BULK MARKET? - BIMCO
As bunker fuel costs have come down from USD 600 per tonnes to USD 330 per tonnes in the past 6 months, much talk about increased ship speed have s ...
Friday, 19 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION REACHED APPROXIMATELY 19.8 MMST; UP 1.0% WOW
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 19 December 14
HANDY: SOFTER TONE; PANAMAX: QUIET WEEK; CAPESIZE; PAINFUL WEEK
Handy
A softer tone for rates and volumes for the Supras, perhaps less apparent in the Pacific the last week before the season holidays and good ...
Thursday, 18 December 14
INDONESIA TO REVISE UP COAL OUTPUT TARGET TO 460 MILLION TONS IN 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian government has revised up its next year coal output forecast to 460 million tons from its previous forecast of 421 million ...
Wednesday, 17 December 14
CAPES RATES SLIPPED BELOW $5,600/DAY, FELL 84% YOY
COALspot.com: In the very rare occurrence when the BCI stands below the BDI, words to describe market sentiment are probably poor, said Intermodal ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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