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Monday, 17 November 14
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY INCREASED WEEK OVER WEEK

COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.73 (-2.67%) month over month and US$ 0.10 (-0.16%) day on day

CFR South China Coal swap
South China Coal swaps for average Q2' 15 delivery lost US$ 2.41 per mt month on month on 14 November and closed at US$ 62.87 a ton. The swap for average Q1’ 2015 delivery lost month on month and day on day according to SGX AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports released week ended 14 November 2014.

Average Q1’ 2015 delivery swap closed at US$ 63.17 a ton on 14 November 2014, a US$ 1.73 (-2.67%) lower from a month. Average Q4' 15 delivery swap has lost US$ 3.36 month over month  and closed at US$ 63.27 per mt.

Q2' 2015 vs Q1’ 2015
API 8 CFR South China coal swap for average Q2’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 62.87 pmt on 14 November 2014, a $ 0.30 (-0.47%) lower compared to Q1’ 2015 closing price of US$ 63.17 for the same period.

Q4' 2015 vs Q1’ 2015
API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for average Q4’ 2015 delivery closed US$ 0.10 (+0.162%) higher compared to average Q1’ 2015 delivery price of US$ 63.17 on 14 November 2014.

According to this past week's swaps trend, average Q1, Q2 & Q4 2015 coal swaps lost month over month. The next year swap trend shows a similar price level for this year and showing no significant improvement. Market analysts are in opinion that, 2015 prices can fell below this year price levels as the coal outputs are still expected at the same levels of this year. Meantime, the demand for coal is still expected to be the same level of this year or lesser.

China is also to introduce import duty of 6% for thermal coal. China’s coal demands are expected to be lower in 2015 due various reasons. There are some media reports also indicated that, China may withdrew coal export tax next year to enable the country’s coal exporters to back to export market. If it is happens, then global coal prices will face further pressure and prices can fall further down.

API 8 CFR South China Coal for Q1’ 2015 delivery swap was achieved a highest price (US$ 63.27) on 13 November 2014, and swap has experienced a lowest closing (US$ 63.17) on 10 & 11 November 2014.

The above report is subject to SGX’s and COALspot.com’s disclaimer clauses. The DSP above are reported on a best-effort basis SGX’s daily report and are not guaranteed to be accurate or error free. Readers are advised to refer to the official DSP available through the clearing members



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