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Thursday, 13 November 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S REBOUND HINGES ON IRON ORE OVERSUPPLY ISSUES MOVING FORWARD - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
“One man’s benefit, is another man’s demise” is a phrase which can be used to describe today’s situation in the dry bulk market. The oversupply of iron ore has led to prices crashing and smaller producers’ position becoming more precarious by the day. On the other hand, for the maritime industry, this exact issue of oversupply is fuelling a rebound in dry bulk freight rates.
So, the issue moving forward will be, how long will the ongoing battle between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three, i.e. Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton will last? According to the marketing manager of Towage & Port Agency with Cotzias Intermodal Shipping, Mr. Christopher T. Whitty, “we are moving into a new era in the iron ore sector and major analysts are already cutting down substantially their forecasts for the price of the commodity during 2015. The commodity traded at $75.38 on November the 6th, marking the lowest level since September 2009 and top researchers are talking about 2015 prices averaging around 80$ per ton. According to Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the largest producer, “The oversupply won’t last forever as some smaller producers that started output when prices were much higher won’t be able to survive the slump”. Even now that the commodity’s price is at record low levels, the majors are still looking at the big picture and they both continue to ramp up production in both Brazil and Australia”, Whitty noted.
In the latest weekly report, Mr. Whitty stated that “from a maritime perspective, the oversupply of global iron ore is one of the main factors that could drive the demand for seaborne trade. The iron ore market fundamentals are changing to the extent where we all hope that the global surplus of the commodity will continue to fuel the rates for Capesize vessels over a prolonged period. The question is, how long it will take until the smaller producers will have to cease operations due to the lower industry price floor”.
It’s worth noting that “during last week, the iron majors in both Brazil and Australia were considered as relatively quiet and, as a result, freight rates declined week on week on the Tubarao to Qingdao route to $9.35 per tonne and on the Western Australia to China route to $24 per tonne. Nevertheless the freight market for capesize bulk carriers is still at sustainable levels and the top iron ore producers are intending to bring even more new supply to the market over the next three years. The increase in global supply is also affecting the Chinese domestic output and if the majors want to force a high percentage of these producers to shut down, they will have to ensure that prices will remain low for an extended period or at least for the next couple of months. Even though Chinese iron ore imports decreased more than 6 percent compared to September, the overall sentiment is that they still remain on track for their biggest growth in the last five years, which is somewhat encouraging for now”, Whitty noted.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “this means that at least in the short term the surplus of iron ore in the market will most likely be absorbed mainly by China, while expectations for 2015 are that the global surplus will be approximately 110 million tons. Comparing that to the 2014 surplus of around 60 million tons, yields a clear picture of the oversupply that is flooding the industry and places even more weight on the significance of the Chinese economy”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT 525K MT OF LOW ASH AND EXTRA LOW SULFUR SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 525,000 metric tons of low ash and extra low sulfur sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWS A FLAT TO WEAK TREND THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps November 2014 delivery flat week on week and gained US$ 0.10 (-0.20%) per mt day on day. The swap also lost US$ ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
THE RIO TINTO CONFIRMS THAT NO DISCUSSIONS ARE TAKING PLACE WITH GLENCORE
COALspot.com: The board of Rio Tinto notes the recent press speculation regarding a possible combination of Rio Tinto and Glencore.The Rio Tinto bo ...
Tuesday, 07 October 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP HEADED SOUTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in November 2014 decreased US$ 1.10 (-1.64%) month over month and US$ 0.25 (-0.38%)  ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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