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Friday, 17 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S OUTLOOK NOW SHIFTING TO A LESS PROMISING ONE, SHIP PRICES EXPECTED TO FOLLOW SOON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
China’s and other Asian countries’ return to the dry bulk market last week, didn’t trigger the hoped support towards the dry bulk market. Instead, the Baltic Dry Index retreated below the 1,000 point mark, a psychological barrier of the past couple of years. Similarly, dry bulk ship prices keep dropping, expectations look dimmer by the day and new building prices are probably the only indicator in the sector still displaying some sort of resistance refusing to adjust accordingly to this new reality, shipbroker Intermodal noted in its latest weekly report.
According to Panos Makrinos, Intermodal’s SnP Broker, “in addition to the current order book, Vale seems to have finally cracked the “code” for entering its gigantic ships to the Chinese shores and the fate of coal exports to China are currently a big question mark following the new standards set by the government there. Optimism for a stronger Q4 has given its way to panic about next year’s outlook and in many cases it feels like we are once again being overrun by sentiment. What’s there to look forward to?”, he wondered.
The broker noted that “sale and purchase activity has been at healthy levels and -despite the large number of candidates- the market has remained highly liquid with a wide range of buyers for all sizes and age groups. Demo prices are very strong and activity is finally picking up to reflect the rising need for tonnage exiting the market. Prices for prompt re-sales are in par with newbuilding prices after a long time and vessels being delivered now have little or zero differences from the designs that yards are marketing for construction. These facts along with the rising finance gap that has been widening throughout the year as private equity started to distance itself from shipping, should provide enough disincentives for new orders going forward. Isn’t this the perfect storm that counter-cyclical investors are looking for?”, Makrinos asked.
Meanwhile, he added that “on the other side of the fence, tankers are displaying a much rosier picture. The M/T Ariadni (166,000dwt – blt 2009) is being reported sold for a very solid USD 56.5m and analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook of the crude market, commenting on the low order book and rising demand for higher ton-mile cargo movements. Sale and purchase activity is steadily rising and asset values across all sizes are beating last done values every time. The New building market is also experiencing this euphoria with prices picking up at least 5% within weeks, completing an image very different to the one during the first quarter of the year”, he stated.
Concluding his analysis, Makrinos wondered “what has changed? Are we going to shoot ourselves in the foot once again? Hopefully market pundits will understand that this long-awaited improvement has been achieved due to the entire sector patiently and painfully working towards a healthier equilibrium and we will avoid making the “recent” mistakes of other sectors”, he concluded.
Meanwhile, over the course of the past week, “the new building market witnessed increased activity for a second week in a row, while the newly found love for the tanker sector seems to be what is mainly supporting the increased volume of orders, as the interest in the dry bulker side is currently limited to big operators. The changes in asset prices are also evident of this trend, with the average price of Suezmaxes ticking further up and that of Capes touching $55.0m, a level last witnessed around the begging of the year. Should the performance of freight rates in the crude carriers market in the next couple of months improves further or even stabilizes around the current levels, it is more than possible that it will pushed the price of the VL back above $100.0m or much higher, given the strong resistance it displayed during the past couple of months when the freight market received a lot of downward pressure. In terms of recently reported deals, Thenamaris has placed an order for 4 LR2 (115,000dwt) at Sungdong, in S. Korea, for a price of US $ 56.0m each and with delivery set for 2017″, Intermodal said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
INDIA'S DIESEL DEREGULATION POSITIVE FOR OIL COMPANIES - FITCH
The Indian government's 18 October decision to deregulate diesel prices will have a positive effect on the national oil marketing companies tha ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUTTING COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost on day, week and month.
The swap has lost US$ 1.57 (-3.04%) month on month ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FAILED TO PERFORM POSITIVE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 3.04 (-4.57%) month over month and US$ 1.75 (-2.68%) week o ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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