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Friday, 17 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S OUTLOOK NOW SHIFTING TO A LESS PROMISING ONE, SHIP PRICES EXPECTED TO FOLLOW SOON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
China’s and other Asian countries’ return to the dry bulk market last week, didn’t trigger the hoped support towards the dry bulk market. Instead, the Baltic Dry Index retreated below the 1,000 point mark, a psychological barrier of the past couple of years. Similarly, dry bulk ship prices keep dropping, expectations look dimmer by the day and new building prices are probably the only indicator in the sector still displaying some sort of resistance refusing to adjust accordingly to this new reality, shipbroker Intermodal noted in its latest weekly report.
According to Panos Makrinos, Intermodal’s SnP Broker, “in addition to the current order book, Vale seems to have finally cracked the “code” for entering its gigantic ships to the Chinese shores and the fate of coal exports to China are currently a big question mark following the new standards set by the government there. Optimism for a stronger Q4 has given its way to panic about next year’s outlook and in many cases it feels like we are once again being overrun by sentiment. What’s there to look forward to?”, he wondered.
The broker noted that “sale and purchase activity has been at healthy levels and -despite the large number of candidates- the market has remained highly liquid with a wide range of buyers for all sizes and age groups. Demo prices are very strong and activity is finally picking up to reflect the rising need for tonnage exiting the market. Prices for prompt re-sales are in par with newbuilding prices after a long time and vessels being delivered now have little or zero differences from the designs that yards are marketing for construction. These facts along with the rising finance gap that has been widening throughout the year as private equity started to distance itself from shipping, should provide enough disincentives for new orders going forward. Isn’t this the perfect storm that counter-cyclical investors are looking for?”, Makrinos asked.
Meanwhile, he added that “on the other side of the fence, tankers are displaying a much rosier picture. The M/T Ariadni (166,000dwt – blt 2009) is being reported sold for a very solid USD 56.5m and analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook of the crude market, commenting on the low order book and rising demand for higher ton-mile cargo movements. Sale and purchase activity is steadily rising and asset values across all sizes are beating last done values every time. The New building market is also experiencing this euphoria with prices picking up at least 5% within weeks, completing an image very different to the one during the first quarter of the year”, he stated.
Concluding his analysis, Makrinos wondered “what has changed? Are we going to shoot ourselves in the foot once again? Hopefully market pundits will understand that this long-awaited improvement has been achieved due to the entire sector patiently and painfully working towards a healthier equilibrium and we will avoid making the “recent” mistakes of other sectors”, he concluded.
Meanwhile, over the course of the past week, “the new building market witnessed increased activity for a second week in a row, while the newly found love for the tanker sector seems to be what is mainly supporting the increased volume of orders, as the interest in the dry bulker side is currently limited to big operators. The changes in asset prices are also evident of this trend, with the average price of Suezmaxes ticking further up and that of Capes touching $55.0m, a level last witnessed around the begging of the year. Should the performance of freight rates in the crude carriers market in the next couple of months improves further or even stabilizes around the current levels, it is more than possible that it will pushed the price of the VL back above $100.0m or much higher, given the strong resistance it displayed during the past couple of months when the freight market received a lot of downward pressure. In terms of recently reported deals, Thenamaris has placed an order for 4 LR2 (115,000dwt) at Sungdong, in S. Korea, for a price of US $ 56.0m each and with delivery set for 2017″, Intermodal said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
INDIA'S DIESEL DEREGULATION POSITIVE FOR OIL COMPANIES - FITCH
The Indian government's 18 October decision to deregulate diesel prices will have a positive effect on the national oil marketing companies tha ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUTTING COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost on day, week and month.
The swap has lost US$ 1.57 (-3.04%) month on month ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FAILED TO PERFORM POSITIVE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 3.04 (-4.57%) month over month and US$ 1.75 (-2.68%) week o ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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