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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and maybe come out of its lethargy. Instead, the BDI moved below the 1,000 unit mark, a level which has been the psychological market barrier for the past couple of years, and started drawing up a completely different picture for dry bulkers compared to the one we see on the wet side and more specifically the crude sector, said Panos Makrinos, SnP Broker of Intermodal.
The broker further said, dry bulk asset prices keep dropping, expectations look dimmer by the day and new building prices are probably the only indicator in the sector still displaying some sort of resistance refusing to adjust accordingly to this new reality. In addition to the current order book, Vale seems to have finally cracked the "code" for entering its gigantic ships to the Chinese shores and the fate of coal exports to China are currently a big question mark following the new standards set by the government there. Optimism for a stronger Q4 has given its way to panic about next year's outlook and in many cases it feels like we are once again being overrun by sentiment. What's there to look forward to?
According to Intermodal, sale and purchase activity has been at healthy levels and -despite the large number of candidates- the market has remained highly liquid with a wide range of buyers for all sizes and age groups. Demo prices are very strong and activity is finally picking up to reflect the rising need for tonnage exiting the market. Prices for prompt re-sales are in par with new building prices after a long time and vessels being delivered now have little or zero differences from the designs that yards are marketing for construction. These facts along with the rising finance gap that has been widening throughout the year as private equity started to distance itself from shipping should provide enough disincentives for new orders going forward. Isn’t this the perfect storm that counter-cyclical investors are looking for?
Commenting on tankers, Intermodal said, on the other side of the fence, tankers are displaying a much rosier picture. The M/T Ariadni (166,000dwt - blt 2009) is being reported sold for a very solid USD 56.5m and analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook of the crude market, commenting on the low order book and rising demand for higher ton-mile cargo movements. Sale and purchase activity is steadily rising and asset values across all sizes are beating last done values every time. The New building market is also experiencing this euphoria with prices picking up at least 5% within weeks, completing an image very different to the one during the first quarter of the year.
What has changed? Are we going to shoot ourselves in the foot once again? Hopefully market pundits will understand that this long-awaited improvement has been achieved due to the entire sector patiently and painfully working towards a healthier equilibrium and we will avoid making the “recent” mistakes of other sectors...
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 25 September 14
LACK OF COAL BUSINESS PUSHING DOWN PANAMAX EARNINGS IN PACIFIC
Handy
In the Atlantic we see rates steady climbing upwards. More coal cargoes out of USG and USEC are helping the TA market which is up some USD ...
Wednesday, 24 September 14
ADARO AGREED TO REDUCE ITS CONCESSION AREA TO 31,379.8 HECTARES
COALspot.com: PT Adaro Energy Tbk (Adaro Energy) today announced that, PT Adaro Indonesia (AI), its wholly owned subsidiary, entered into a M ...
Wednesday, 24 September 14
CAPESIZE: ACTIVITY IN BOTH BASINS WAS UNIMPRESSIVE
COALspot.com: The end of the week prior seems to have marked the tone for the days that followed, with the Dry Bulk market giving up a significant ...
Tuesday, 23 September 14
MEDCO TO INCREASE ITS COAL PRODUCTION NEXT YEAR
COALspot.com: PT Medco Energi Internasional is looking to increase its coal production next year, supported by the launch of operations at its Duta ...
Monday, 22 September 14
COAL SECTOR CHAOS - GENESIS TO REVELATION - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com: “Let there be light”, intends the government of India but the fuel side of the story paints a blackout. The recent Suprem ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
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