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Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” in order to cheer up Brian, who had been sentenced to death by crucifixion. In shipping the “dry side of life” doesn't seem very bright and unfortunately the fundamentals are not there to support the industry and sing to us to “look on the bright side of an upcoming rise...”
The much anticipated Q4 is here and market hopes for a dry bulk market rally have not yet materialized and it doesn't seem like they will soon. A snapshot comparison of today's BDI with that of the same time last year reveals that by no means, and especially for the bigger sizes (Capes & Panamaxes), are we on the same track; the chart below can prove same and can show the completely different picture between present levels and those of last year.
From this comparison the only size/segments which is relatively close to last year’s figures, are the Supras and the Handysizes. These two sizes have managed to find support mainly by the US Gulf – Continent route which remains strong due to the record high predicted US grain export season. On the Pacific, although the Indonesian ban of unprocessed ore exports is weighing on Supras and Handies, strong Chinese steel exports managed to support these sizes in the backhaul trade to Continent, US and within Intra Asia.
On the other hand, the situation on the bigger sizes (Capes, Panamaxes) is not the same and their rates have plummeted compared with that of last year. Capesizes have been impacted by the drop in Brazilian iron ore exports and news that Chinese authorities are cutting coal imports by 50Mt this year in order to support the domestic coal market. Along with this, the Chinese government is formulating a new series of anti-pollution measures that may affect imports from Australia.
So is there any bright side on the Dry bulk segment? Apparently not in terms of healthy charter rates and good returns. On the other hand the crisis has given birth to opportunities in the dry bulk market; opportunities to invest! Asset prices are falling and we have seen deals concluded at attractive new lows. As a benchmark the sale of panamax BC m/v Mishima (2002 blt JPN) which has been reported sold for region USD 12,5mill is setting up a new era on asset values, since this price is in line with values we witnessed back in the end of 2012/beginning 2013 were dry bulk assets had hit bottom.
More deals on the same pace will likely follow, since the market has lately been flooded with sales candidates and market prospects remain the same. At the same time the YEN to USD exchange rate is also assisting towards this direction since Japanese owners are traditional Sellers of second hand Bulk Carriers.
What dry bulk owners with appetite to invest should be doing is to be well alerted and ready in order to manage to acquire the right tonnage at the right price!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 25 August 14
4TH ANNUAL FLOATING TERMINALS
4th Annual Floating Terminals
18-20 Nov 2014
Intercontinental Jakarta Midplaza,
Indonesia
Web Site
The Floating Terminal c ...
Monday, 25 August 14
THE BALTIC DRY IS JUMPING, BUT DON'T DRAW ANY BROAD CONCLUSIONS - NASDAQ
Those who consistently preach doom and gloom and see an economic apocalypse around every corner would make me laugh if it weren’t for the fac ...
Monday, 25 August 14
COAL CEOS: DEMISE OF COAL 'EXAGGERATED' - MARK WILCOX
By Mark Wilcox
Heads of some of the largest coal companies in Wyoming are saying the demise of coal has been exaggerated, though the industry def ...
Monday, 25 August 14
INDO COAL SWAPS W-O-W: NEGATIVE; M-O-M: POSITIVE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average September 2014 decreased US$ 0.15 (-0.28%) day on day and US$ 0.65 (-1.19%) per mt week on week. Th ...
Monday, 25 August 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED DAY OVER DAY AND MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in September 2014 increased US$ 0.30 (+0.44%) day on day and decreased US$ 0.20 (- ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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