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Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” in order to cheer up Brian, who had been sentenced to death by crucifixion. In shipping the “dry side of life” doesn't seem very bright and unfortunately the fundamentals are not there to support the industry and sing to us to “look on the bright side of an upcoming rise...”
The much anticipated Q4 is here and market hopes for a dry bulk market rally have not yet materialized and it doesn't seem like they will soon. A snapshot comparison of today's BDI with that of the same time last year reveals that by no means, and especially for the bigger sizes (Capes & Panamaxes), are we on the same track; the chart below can prove same and can show the completely different picture between present levels and those of last year.
From this comparison the only size/segments which is relatively close to last year’s figures, are the Supras and the Handysizes. These two sizes have managed to find support mainly by the US Gulf – Continent route which remains strong due to the record high predicted US grain export season. On the Pacific, although the Indonesian ban of unprocessed ore exports is weighing on Supras and Handies, strong Chinese steel exports managed to support these sizes in the backhaul trade to Continent, US and within Intra Asia.
On the other hand, the situation on the bigger sizes (Capes, Panamaxes) is not the same and their rates have plummeted compared with that of last year. Capesizes have been impacted by the drop in Brazilian iron ore exports and news that Chinese authorities are cutting coal imports by 50Mt this year in order to support the domestic coal market. Along with this, the Chinese government is formulating a new series of anti-pollution measures that may affect imports from Australia.
So is there any bright side on the Dry bulk segment? Apparently not in terms of healthy charter rates and good returns. On the other hand the crisis has given birth to opportunities in the dry bulk market; opportunities to invest! Asset prices are falling and we have seen deals concluded at attractive new lows. As a benchmark the sale of panamax BC m/v Mishima (2002 blt JPN) which has been reported sold for region USD 12,5mill is setting up a new era on asset values, since this price is in line with values we witnessed back in the end of 2012/beginning 2013 were dry bulk assets had hit bottom.
More deals on the same pace will likely follow, since the market has lately been flooded with sales candidates and market prospects remain the same. At the same time the YEN to USD exchange rate is also assisting towards this direction since Japanese owners are traditional Sellers of second hand Bulk Carriers.
What dry bulk owners with appetite to invest should be doing is to be well alerted and ready in order to manage to acquire the right tonnage at the right price!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 06 October 14
' COAL-BY-WIRE' FROM SUMATRA TO JAVA - THE JAKARTA POST
Coal from the island of Sumatra accounts for most of Indonesia’s low-grade lignite, a low-quality coal that receives a poor price in internat ...
Monday, 06 October 14
THE IRON ORE SHIPPING BUSINESS IS FACING SOME ROUGH SEAS - EAST ASIA FORUM
The impact of Chinese demand on global iron ore prices is well known. A less acknowledged consequence of China’s emergence is the transformat ...
Sunday, 05 October 14
BALTIC DRY INDEX SLIPS 1.14%; BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX GAINED 9.91% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down by 1.14 pct and closed at 1037 points this Friday.
The Cape index was down significantly week on week or lost 5 ...
Friday, 03 October 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.8% TO 19.9 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of co ...
Thursday, 02 October 14
CAPESIZE - DULL AND WITHOUT MUCH DIRECTION AS IRON ORE AND COAL VOLUMES FAIL TO LIVE UP EXPECTATIONS
Handy
After the recent weeks´ rate increase in the Atlantic we see Panamaxes snapping up handymax and Supra cargoes at much lower levels, p ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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