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Monday, 29 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST AROUND 5% MONTH ON MONTH

COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in November 2014 decreased US$ 3.55 (-5.10%) month over month and flat week over week.

CFR South China Coal swap
South China Coal swaps for November'14 delivery flat week on week on 26 September and closed at US$ 66.55 a ton. The swap for January 2015 delivery also lost on month on month but gained on day and week according to SGX AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports released week ended 26 September 2014.

January 2015 delivery swap closed at US$ 66.55 a ton on 26 September 2014, a US$ 3.65 (-5.20%) lower from a month. November' 15 delivery swap also lost US$ 4.00 from month and closed at US$ 68.65 per mt.

API 8 CFR South China coal swap for November 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.40 (+0.59%) on day but lost U$ 0.10 (-0.15%) week on week. January 2015 delivery swap closed at US$ 66.55 pmt on 26 September 2014, a $ 0.45 (+0.68%) higher compared to November 2014 closing price of US$ 66.10 for the same period.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for average November 2015 delivery closed US$ 2.55 (+3.86%) higher compared to average November 2014 delivery price of US$ 66.10 on 26 September 2014.

According to this past week's swaps trend, January 2015 coal swaps closed narrowly higher compared to November 2014 closing. However November 2015 closing swap were quite higher or higher by US$ 2.55 per MT compared to November 2014 closing prices, giving hope the market is trying to improve.

Indonesia, as the largest coal exporter and China is a net coal importer is trying to introduce number of regulations to cut coal exports and imports respectively.

However according to Wood Mackenzie, the Chinese upcoming the quality restrictions to apply both imported and domestic coal and therefore will increase demand for imported coal because imported coal is generally lower ash and sulphur than domestic coal. Indonesian exports are generally low sulphur and ash and consequently will stand to benefit from the ban.

According to media reports, ministry of commerce of Indonesia has issued total fifty one (51) ET - Batubara (coal export registration) licenses to coal miners and coal traders. As of 19 September 16 CCoW, 25 IUP op and 10 IUP OPK holders have obtained ET-Batubara licenses from ministry of commerce. According to ministry officials, there will be no fall in coal exports due to ET-Batubara regulations as the ministry has almost issued export permits to almost all CCoW holders who are accounted for around 80% coal exports.

API 8 CFR South China Coal for November 2014 delivery swap was achieved a highest price (US$ 66.10) on 26 September 2014, and swap experienced a lowest closing (US$ 65.80) on 25 September 2014.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for delivery November 2014 and January & November 2015 were lost month on month.

Richards Bay Thermal Coal swap
SGX API 4 FOB Richards Bay Thermal Coal swap for delivery November 2014 lost US$ 1.05 week over week and closed at US$ 67.50 on 26 September 2014.  January 2015 as well as November 2015 delivery swaps also failed to perform positive and lost US$ 1.55 (-2.20%) and US$ 3.80 (-5.07%) respectively week on week.

FOB Richards Bay Thermal Coal swap for November 2014, Jan and Nov 2015 deliveries lost US$ 4.95 (-6.83%), US$ 5.00 (-6.76%) and US$ 7.50 (-9.54%) month over month on 26 September.

SGX API 4 FOB Richards Bay Thermal Coal January 2015 delivery swap closed US$ 1.50 (+2.22%) higher compared to average November 2014 delivery price of US$ 67.50 on 26 September 2014.  In the meantime, the coal swap for November 2015 delivery, closed average US$ 3.65 (+5.41) higher than swap for November 2014 delivery for the same reported period.

Newcastle Thermal Coal swap
SGX API 5 FOB Newcastle Thermal Coal swaps November 2014 delivery gained US$ 0.05 per MT week on week on 26 September 2014, closed at US$ 54.95 per Mt. November 2015 delivery swaps closed at US$ 58.00, a $ 3.05 higher than November 2014 closing price. November 2014, January as well as November 2015 delivery swaps performed negative month on month.

FOB Newcastle Thermal Coal swaps for November 2014, Jan and Nov 2015 deliveries lost US$ 3.30 (-5.67%), US$ 3.35 (-5.69%) and US$ 2.90 (-4.76%) month over month on 26 September.

The above report is subject to SGX’s and COALspot.com’s disclaimer clauses. The DSP above are reported on a best-effort basis SGX’s daily report and are not guaranteed to be accurate or error free. Readers are advised to refer to the official DSP available through the clearing members



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