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Monday, 22 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS LOST ON DAY, WEEK AND MONTH

COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in October 2014 decreased US$ 3.10 (-4.50%) month over month and $ 0.95 PT MT week over week.

CFR South China Coal swap
South China Coal swaps for October'14 delivery lost around US$ 0.95 week on week on 19 September and closed at US$ 66.85 a ton. The swap for January 2015 delivery also lost on day, week over week and month on month according to SGX AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports released week ended 19 September 2014.

January 2015 delivery swap closed at US$ 66.40 a ton on 19 September 2014, a US$ 3.95 (-5.61%) lower from a month. October' 15 swap also lost US$ 4.30 from month and closed at US$ 68.55 per mt.

API 8 CFR South China coal swap for October 2015 delivery has also lost US$ 0.25 (-0.36%) and US$ 0.60 (-0.87%) on day and week respectively. January 2015 delivery swap closed at US$ 66.40 pmt on 19 September 2014, a $ 0.55 (+0.84%) higher compared to October 2014 closing price of US$ 65.85 for the same period.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for average October 2015 delivery closed US$ 2.70 (+4.10%) higher compared to average October 2014 delivery price of US$ 65.85 on 12 September 2014.

According to this past week's swaps trend, January 2015 coal swaps closed narrowly higher compared to October 2014 closing. However October 2015 closing swap were quite higher or higher by US$ 2.70 per MT compared to October 2014 closing prices, giving hope the market is trying to improve.

Indonesia, as the largest coal exporter and China is a net coal importer is trying to introduce number of regulations to cut coal exports and imports respectively. If all the new regulations introduced and implemented on time, then Indonesian low calorific value coal producers will face a hard time to plan their production.

However according to Wood Mackenzie, the Chinese upcoming the quality restrictions to apply both imported and domestic coal and therefore will increase demand for imported coal because imported coal is generally lower ash and sulphur than domestic coal. Indonesian exports are generally low sulphur and ash and consequently will stand to benefit from the ban.

According to media reports, ministry of commerce of Indonesia has issued total fifty one (51) ET - Batubara (coal export registration) licenses to coal miners and coal traders. As of 19 September 16 CCoW, 25 IUP op and 10 IUP OPK holders have obtained ET-Batubara licenses from ministry of commerce. According to ministry officials, there will be no fall in coal exports due to ET-Batubara regulations as the ministry has almost issued export permits to almost all CCoW holders who are accounted for around 80% coal exports.

The market says that, thousand of coal miners are still waiting to receive ET-Batubara from ministry of commerce before 30 September 2014 and starting from 1st October no miners or traders will not be allowed to export coal without ET-Batubara.

API 8 CFR South China Coal for October 2014 delivery swap was achieved a highest price (US$ 66.80) on 15 September 2014, and swap experienced a lowest closing (US$ 65.85) on 19 September 2014.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for delivery October 2014 and January & October 2015 were lost on day, week and on month.

Richards Bay Thermal Coal swap
SGX API 4 FOB Richards Bay Thermal Coal swap for delivery October 2014 lost US$ 0.65 week over week and closed at US$ 68.35 on 19 September 2014.  January 2015 as well as October 2015 delivery swaps also failed to perform positive and lost US$ 0.90 (-1.26%) and US$ 1.25 (1.69%) respectively week on week.

FOB Richards Bay Thermal Coal swap for October 2014, Jan and Oct 2015 deliveries lost US$ 3.35 (-4.67%), US$ 3.25 (4.40%) and US$ 4.10 (5.35%) month over month on 19 September.

SGX API 4 FOB Richards Bay Thermal Coal January 2015 delivery swap closed US$ 2.20 (+3.22%) higher compared to average October 2014 delivery price of US$ 68.35 on 19 September 2014.  In the meantime, the coal swap for October 2015 delivery, closed average US$ 4.55 (+6.66) higher than swap for October 2014 delivery for the same reported period.

Newcastle Thermal Coal swap
SGX API 5 FOB Newcastle Thermal Coal swaps October 2014 delivery lost US$ 0.05 per MT week on week on 19 September 2014, closed at US$ 54.60 per Mt. October 2015 delivery swaps closed at US$ 57.80, a $ 3.20 higher than October 2014 closing price. October 2014, January as well as October 2015 delivery swaps performed negative month on month.

FOB Newcastle Thermal Coal swaps for October 2014, Jan and Oct 2015 deliveries lost US$ 3.20 (-5.54%), US$ 3.75 (6.33%) and US$ 3.20 (5.25%) month over month on 19 September.

The above article is subject to SGX’s and COALspot.com’s disclaimer clauses. The DSP above are reported on a best-effort basis SGX’s daily report and are not guaranteed to be accurate or error free. Users are advised to refer to the official DSP available through the clearing members.



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