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Monday, 15 September 14
CHINA'S COAL PROPOSALS LEAVE SOME HOPE FOR EXPORTERS - DAILY NEWS
 When the best thing you can say about new policies is that they aren’t as bad as they could have been, then you know your industry is in deep trouble, Daily Times of Pakistan reported its today’s edition.
According to Daily Times, China’s proposed cap on coal consumption and ban on low-quality imports won’t have sparked celebrations among export-focused coal miners, but may have given them some hope that the world’s top importer of the fuel will remain open for business.
The State Council, China’s cabinet, on Tuesday published a draft version of a law to tighten air pollution control by cutting the use of coal, which is used to generate about 80 percent of the nation’s electricity. The draft didn’t spell out exactly what the consumption cap would be, nor the quality standards that would be imposed on imported fuel. However, industry sources say the recommendation from the National Energy Administration is that coal with a sulphur content of more than 0.6 percent and ash content of more than 15 percent be banned, said Daily Times.
The paper further said, what is also interesting to note is that the proposed import ban doesn’t specify heating value, meaning low-calorific coal could still be shipped in as long as it has low ash and sulphur.
At face value, this appears to favour Indonesian producers, whose low-calorific coal meets the ash and sulphur standards, while penalising exports from Australia and South Africa. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, in a Sept. 4 report, said about 39 percent of Australian output may be excluded if the proposal becomes law. While this sounds significant, the report points out that only a small proportion of that 39 percent of output goes to China currently, and there is still plenty of supply from the remaining 61 percent that could meet any shortfall. It’s also likely that Australian and South African producers will waste little time in trying to convince Beijing that banning high calorific coal while still allowing low calorific shipments makes little sense from a pollution perspective. More important for exporters to China will be the overall cap on consumption, which the current five-year plans pegged at 4.1 billion tonnes by next year, said Daily Times of Pakistan.
Assuming this level becomes a permanent cap, the main issue is what action Beijing will take to limit domestic production, which stood at 3.7 billion tonnes in 2013, and is likely to be around this level in 2014 as well.
The Daily Times said, if Chinese domestic output is kept around current levels, or increases slightly, it will still mean plenty of opportunities for imports. However, if the domestic industry is allowed to mine over 4 billion tonnes a year, it’s likely that imports will be squeezed even harder than they are by the current low pricing.
The best case scenario for coal exporters is that the new regulations make some Chinese domestic mines unviable, thereby limiting domestic production, the paper concluded.
Source: Daily News
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Wednesday, 17 September 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Since the onslaught of 2013 the rising tide of asset prices had been primarily driven by the increasing freight market conditions and the improving ...
Tuesday, 16 September 14
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED HBA SUFFERED ANOTHER SETBACK IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in September. HBA for ...
Tuesday, 16 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT WON'T EXCEED 421M TONS: GOVT - JP
The government is optimistic that it will meet its coal production target for this year, which caps nationwide production at a flat number compared ...
Monday, 15 September 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP, JANUARY 2015 DELIVERY GAINED DAY ON DAY AND WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average October 2014 increased US$ 0.40 (+0.78%) day on day and US$ 0.55 (+1.08%) per mt week on week. The ...
Monday, 15 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED DAY ON DAY AND WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in October 2014 decreased US$ 2.30 (-3.36%) month over month, but increased day on day a ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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