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Tuesday, 09 September 14
WEAK M&A DESPITE ABUNDANT DISTRESSED INDONESIA COAL ASSETS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that a meaningful level of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity leading to a consolidation of the coal sector in Indonesia is unlikely, despite the substantial number of distressed coal companies in the country. Sustained weakness in demand and an uncertain price outlook for Asian thermal coal have prompted the larger coal companies in Indonesia to preserve liquidity and focus on maximising returns from existing projects.
Coal prices have fallen by about 40% from the average prices in 2011, and are not expected to see any material improvement in the next 12-24 months, due to weak import demand from China and strong supply globally.
The larger Indonesian coal miners have already incurred sizable investments in greenfield and brownfield coal projects in the past two to three years, and now have large undeveloped resources. Fitch believes capex will be mostly limited to expanding production of existing assets and bringing some of the economically viable resources to production readiness. Investment spending by these companies on new coal assets will be muted until there is a meaningful recovery in coal prices.
Fitch believes any M&A will be limited to assets that can be relatively easily integrated into existing operations of potential suitors or mines than can be integrated with potential mine-mouth power generation projects supplying to the national grid based on long-term power purchase agreements. We also believe there could be some interest from overseas power generation companies, such as from India, to support their coal requirements in the home market. However, we believe such opportunities are limited compared to the number of distressed coal assets in Indonesia.
An additional obstacle for M&A is regulatory risk. These include national production (or export) caps, increased royalties for the newer (Izin Usaha Pertambangan/IUP) coal license holders (which make up the largest share of the distressed assets). Furthermore, most available greenfield mines are located in Sumatera, which generally contains low calorific value (CV) coals.
Presently, low CV coals face a higher degree of uncertainty in terms of pricing, given a potential ban (or punitive import taxes) on the import of these into China. Given the low energy content and higher investments required for logistics, monetising Sumatran coal has become increasingly more challenging.
Given the weak market conditions and outlook, access to funding, including bank debt and debt capital markets, has also been challenged, except for a very few large, profitable coal producers in Indonesia. This too is proving to be a constraining factor for consolidation.
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Thursday, 21 August 14
PREDICTIONS FROM VARIOUS SHIPPERS AND MINING INDUSTRY FOR 2ND HALF YEAR AND ESPECIALLY Q4 IS POSITIVE
Handy
The activity has increased in both hemispheres this week and we see rates edging up on all trades. TA´s are now paying around 8k whic ...
Thursday, 21 August 14
SHIP OWNERS KEEP SHYING AWAY FOR NEW SHIP INVESTMENTS, OVERALL TREND IS DOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners have remained in the sidelines of the Sale & Purchasing market for second hand vessels, during most of August, while they also slow ...
Wednesday, 20 August 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO REBOUND IN THE FOURTH QUARTER, OR NOT....- NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The projected rebound of the dry bulk market is still an elusive trend and shipbrokers and analysts are looking to identify the timing of the loomi ...
Monday, 18 August 14
CAPESIZE RATES TO RISE TO MUCH HIGHER LEVELS THIS YEAR - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com: Capesize rates ended last week at $15,561/day, which marked a week-on-week increase of $6,167 (66%). Capesize rates have been a ...
Monday, 18 August 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $58.60 FOR SEPTEMBER 2015; UP $4 FROM SEPTEMBER 2014 CLOSING
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average September 2014 decreased US$ 0.15 (-0.27%) day on day and US$ 0.75 (-1.36%) per mt week on week. Th ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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