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Wednesday, 23 July 14
HARD COAL 2013: THE WORLD'S SECOND-MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE AND GUARANTOR FOR THE SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING TIMES OF CRISIS
Hard coal is again in 2013 the fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in the world. As shown in the BP Statistical Review 2014, it covered about 30% of the world’s demand for primary energy of 12.7 billion TOE (tonnes of oil equivalent).
According to the German Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), coal, which has a share of 56% of the reserves and about 89% of the resources of all fossil primary energy sources, has the greatest potential among all of the non-renewable energy sources and has been declared to be the most important energy source.
Hard coal is also broadly distributed over many regions, and calculations by the VDKi based on today’s quantities, prices, and costs indicate that there are sufficient quantities to last for at least another 110 years. Even if a significant coal-exporting country were to prohibit the export of coal tomorrow (speaking theoretically), producing countries on other continents would be able to compensate the loss without any problems.
The VDKi would like to call attention to the fact that the debate on the security of supply has become one-sided and closely focused on securing supply using primary energy sources tied to pipelines. The primary topic is the security of our electric power supply. Coal has a number of advantages in this respect. In contrast to renewable energies, it is available at all times. Moreover, it is not tied to pipeline facilities, can be stockpiled as an energy source right at power plant sites, is found all around the world, and there are many and varied means of transport across both the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans.
Global hard coal consumption rises by 3%
According to initial estimates by BP in its Statistical Review 2014, global energy consumption of 12.7bn TOE (= tonne oil equivalent = 1 tonne OE = oil equivalent = 1.43 TCE) in 2013 rose by a little less than 2.3% in comparison with 2012 (12.5bn TOE). The background to this development is the low or non-existent growth in many OECD countries such as in Europe and Japan (with the exception of the USA). Coal consumption continued to increase in China (+4.4%) and India (+3.8%), on the other hand, although growth was more moderate than in previous years.
Coal consumption once again posted the strongest rise. In comparison with 2012, there was growth of 3%. The decline in coal consumption in the USA by 11.9% in 2012 was followed by growth of 4.3% in 2013. In terms of the average growth rates of 3.5% over the past five years, coal is and remains the Number 1 source of primary energy in the 21st century and has been the second-most important source of primary energy in the world since 2012, surpassed only by oil.
Estimates by the EU Commission indicate that total primary energy consumption in Europe declined by 0.6% (98m TOE) to 1.49bn TOE. The initial estimates indicate that there has been virtually no change in the mix of primary energy sources used for electric power generation in the EU 28. Hard coal and lignite together maintained their share of 27%, while hard coal alone posted a share of 19% in spite of the massive expansion of renewable energies. However, hard coal output in Europe declined by 15m tonnes to 114m tonnes. On the other hand, hard coal imports to the EU 28 rose by 3m tonnes (+1.4%) to 216m tonnes.
Seaborne world trade in steam coal grows by 6% World trade in hard coal totalling 1,237m tonnes in 2013 represented an increase of 73m tonnes (about 6%) in comparison with the previous year. Seaborne and internal trade posted the following development: in 2013, seaborne trade rose by 60m tonnes to 1,142m tonnes (= +5.5%), while internal trade increased by 18m tonnes (= +16%) to 95m tonnes. The steam coal market grew by 4% (37m tonnes) to a total of 863m tonnes.
Projections from the IEA show that the demand for coal will grow worldwide by an average of 2.3% p.a. over the coming years.
Preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first four months of 2014 indicate that the seaborne hard coal market worldwide grew by just under 3% (10m tonnes) in comparison with the same period of the previous year.
Coking coal market grows by 9%
Worldwide crude steel production in 2013 reached the level of 1,607m tonnes, a new record. The increase by 3.5% (59m tonnes) occurred mainly in Asia (+6%) and in the Middle East (+2.5%). Crude steel production in Europe, North and South America, Russia and Korea declined by between 1.8% and 4.4%. Pig iron production, the decisive factor for the consumption of coking coal, PCI coal and coke, rose by 52m tonnes (about 5%) to 1,164m tonnes. The coking coal market increased correspondingly by 23m tonnes (+9%) to 279m tonnes.
With the exception of Australia, there were no fundamental changes in the supplier structure. Australia’s market share increased by another 8 percentage points and has now reached the mark of 61%. The USA again lost market share to Australia and now holds a share of 20%.
Hard coal and coke imports to Germany rise by 10%, hard coal consumption increases by 4%
The demand for domestic German and imported hard coal rose by 2.4m TCE (4.1%) to almost 61m TCE in 2013. About 86% of the demand for hard coal was covered by imports; domestic coal today covers only about 14%. Total imports of hard coal and coke reached a new record level of 52.8m tonnes in 2013, an increase by 4.9m tonnes (10%) over 2012.
Most of the hard coal sales go to power plants as the dominant buyers (71%; previous year 66%) and the iron and steel industry (26%; previous year 30%); the heating market (4%) plays only a subordinate role. The import demand for steam coal was covered primarily by Russia, the USA and Colombia, while the primary supplier countries for coking coal were Australia (45%) and the USA (30%).
Power generation from hard coal-fired power plants rose substantially in 2013 thanks to the favourable price situation in comparison with gas and the low CO2 certificate prices in European emission trading. Hard coal-fired power plants supplied 124 TWh of electric power, about 8 TWh (6.5%) more than in the past year, giving hard coal a share of more than 19% in the energy mix in 2013.
The balance in power exchange (total exports less imports) in 2013 amounted to about 34 TWh, an increase of 46% over 2012.
The price advantage of coal over gas (difference between the so-called clean dark spread less clean spark spread) in recent years has fluctuated between €-15 and €-25 per MWh. However, this difference favouring hard coal must not be allowed to obscure the fact that the revenues from power generation are inadequate because of the artificially low prices on the EEX and their unfair competitive advantage created by the priority given to feed-in of renewable energies.
A German hard coal-fired power plant has generation costs of between €50/MWH and €60/MWh, depending on its age. At the moment, however, it receives only about €35/MWh for the generated base load, i.e. it can usually achieve only very low contribution margins, if any at all, with the consequence that power revenues fall far short of covering the total operating costs.
This has prompted Dr Wolfgang Cieslik, VDKi CEO, to call on politicians for action:
“We urgently need a form of regulation which will guarantee hard coal-fired power plants a return to profitability in the long term as well because this is the only course which can guarantee the security and profitability of power supply and the successful realisation of the energy turnaround.”
Despite the increase in steam coal imports of 3.3% in Q1 2014, the VDKi estimates that only 37m tonnes of steam coal and 51m tonnes of hard coal and coke in total will be imported during all of 2014.
Price developments: A surplus in supply meets moderate demand
Developments in which a worldwide surplus in the supply of coal runs into demand which is not growing fast enough began in 2011, and the trend continued in 2013. Prices remained under pressure in 2013 as a result. From October 2013 to today (beginning of July 2014) alone, prices for steam coal fell from US$89/tonne to US$72/tonne, about 20%. The same is true of coking coal prices. Both coking coal and coke prices declined in 2013 because of the general slump in demand accompanied by a simultaneous expansion in supply.
While prices between US$160 and US$165/tonne were still being paid for coking coal at the beginning of 2013, this level had decreased to US$138/tonne by the end of 2013. This development continues to hold sway in 2014; as of the middle of 2014, spot prices for HCC quality had fallen to US$116/tonne.
- German Coal Importer Association -
About the German Coal Importer Association
The Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. (VDKi) is the lobby organisation for the hard coal import market in Germany. Its German and European members come from the sectors power, industry, trade and logistics. The Association currently has 78 members who consume about 70% of the German demand for hard coal of approximately 61 million tonnes in their facilities. The VDKi clearly represents the major part of the hard coal market (German domestic and imported hard coal) in Germany.
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Friday, 02 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWING SIGNS OF COMEBACK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market which has been hovering below the 1,000-point market (BDI) during the past couple of weeks, could be exhibiting signs of a s ...
Thursday, 01 May 14
INDONESIA EXPORT BAN POINTS TO QUESTIONS OVER CHINA'S LONG-TERM BAUXITE SUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
China’s Bauxite demand forecast to reach 240 million tonnes by 2030
In light of the Indonesian mineral ore ban that came into force o ...
Thursday, 01 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL REELING UNDER PRESSURE FROM VARIOUS FACTORS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's revival is still overdue, as the industry's benchmark, the BDI is still lagging below the 1,000-point mark. In fac ...
Wednesday, 30 April 14
FREIGHT MARKET FOR DRY BULKERS STILL REMAINS WEAK - INTERMODAL
One week after the Easter holiday and the celebration for the resurrection of Christ, everybody expected to see a similar sign of a revival in t ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q4 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 1.07 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
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Showing 3726 to 3730 news of total 6871 |
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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