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Wednesday, 23 July 14
HARD COAL 2013: THE WORLD'S SECOND-MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE AND GUARANTOR FOR THE SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING TIMES OF CRISIS
Hard coal is again in 2013 the fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in the world. As shown in the BP Statistical Review 2014, it covered about 30% of the world’s demand for primary energy of 12.7 billion TOE (tonnes of oil equivalent).
According to the German Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), coal, which has a share of 56% of the reserves and about 89% of the resources of all fossil primary energy sources, has the greatest potential among all of the non-renewable energy sources and has been declared to be the most important energy source.
Hard coal is also broadly distributed over many regions, and calculations by the VDKi based on today’s quantities, prices, and costs indicate that there are sufficient quantities to last for at least another 110 years. Even if a significant coal-exporting country were to prohibit the export of coal tomorrow (speaking theoretically), producing countries on other continents would be able to compensate the loss without any problems.
The VDKi would like to call attention to the fact that the debate on the security of supply has become one-sided and closely focused on securing supply using primary energy sources tied to pipelines. The primary topic is the security of our electric power supply. Coal has a number of advantages in this respect. In contrast to renewable energies, it is available at all times. Moreover, it is not tied to pipeline facilities, can be stockpiled as an energy source right at power plant sites, is found all around the world, and there are many and varied means of transport across both the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans.
Global hard coal consumption rises by 3%
According to initial estimates by BP in its Statistical Review 2014, global energy consumption of 12.7bn TOE (= tonne oil equivalent = 1 tonne OE = oil equivalent = 1.43 TCE) in 2013 rose by a little less than 2.3% in comparison with 2012 (12.5bn TOE). The background to this development is the low or non-existent growth in many OECD countries such as in Europe and Japan (with the exception of the USA). Coal consumption continued to increase in China (+4.4%) and India (+3.8%), on the other hand, although growth was more moderate than in previous years.
Coal consumption once again posted the strongest rise. In comparison with 2012, there was growth of 3%. The decline in coal consumption in the USA by 11.9% in 2012 was followed by growth of 4.3% in 2013. In terms of the average growth rates of 3.5% over the past five years, coal is and remains the Number 1 source of primary energy in the 21st century and has been the second-most important source of primary energy in the world since 2012, surpassed only by oil.
Estimates by the EU Commission indicate that total primary energy consumption in Europe declined by 0.6% (98m TOE) to 1.49bn TOE. The initial estimates indicate that there has been virtually no change in the mix of primary energy sources used for electric power generation in the EU 28. Hard coal and lignite together maintained their share of 27%, while hard coal alone posted a share of 19% in spite of the massive expansion of renewable energies. However, hard coal output in Europe declined by 15m tonnes to 114m tonnes. On the other hand, hard coal imports to the EU 28 rose by 3m tonnes (+1.4%) to 216m tonnes.
Seaborne world trade in steam coal grows by 6% World trade in hard coal totalling 1,237m tonnes in 2013 represented an increase of 73m tonnes (about 6%) in comparison with the previous year. Seaborne and internal trade posted the following development: in 2013, seaborne trade rose by 60m tonnes to 1,142m tonnes (= +5.5%), while internal trade increased by 18m tonnes (= +16%) to 95m tonnes. The steam coal market grew by 4% (37m tonnes) to a total of 863m tonnes.
Projections from the IEA show that the demand for coal will grow worldwide by an average of 2.3% p.a. over the coming years.
Preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first four months of 2014 indicate that the seaborne hard coal market worldwide grew by just under 3% (10m tonnes) in comparison with the same period of the previous year.
Coking coal market grows by 9%
Worldwide crude steel production in 2013 reached the level of 1,607m tonnes, a new record. The increase by 3.5% (59m tonnes) occurred mainly in Asia (+6%) and in the Middle East (+2.5%). Crude steel production in Europe, North and South America, Russia and Korea declined by between 1.8% and 4.4%. Pig iron production, the decisive factor for the consumption of coking coal, PCI coal and coke, rose by 52m tonnes (about 5%) to 1,164m tonnes. The coking coal market increased correspondingly by 23m tonnes (+9%) to 279m tonnes.
With the exception of Australia, there were no fundamental changes in the supplier structure. Australia’s market share increased by another 8 percentage points and has now reached the mark of 61%. The USA again lost market share to Australia and now holds a share of 20%.
Hard coal and coke imports to Germany rise by 10%, hard coal consumption increases by 4%
The demand for domestic German and imported hard coal rose by 2.4m TCE (4.1%) to almost 61m TCE in 2013. About 86% of the demand for hard coal was covered by imports; domestic coal today covers only about 14%. Total imports of hard coal and coke reached a new record level of 52.8m tonnes in 2013, an increase by 4.9m tonnes (10%) over 2012.
Most of the hard coal sales go to power plants as the dominant buyers (71%; previous year 66%) and the iron and steel industry (26%; previous year 30%); the heating market (4%) plays only a subordinate role. The import demand for steam coal was covered primarily by Russia, the USA and Colombia, while the primary supplier countries for coking coal were Australia (45%) and the USA (30%).
Power generation from hard coal-fired power plants rose substantially in 2013 thanks to the favourable price situation in comparison with gas and the low CO2 certificate prices in European emission trading. Hard coal-fired power plants supplied 124 TWh of electric power, about 8 TWh (6.5%) more than in the past year, giving hard coal a share of more than 19% in the energy mix in 2013.
The balance in power exchange (total exports less imports) in 2013 amounted to about 34 TWh, an increase of 46% over 2012.
The price advantage of coal over gas (difference between the so-called clean dark spread less clean spark spread) in recent years has fluctuated between €-15 and €-25 per MWh. However, this difference favouring hard coal must not be allowed to obscure the fact that the revenues from power generation are inadequate because of the artificially low prices on the EEX and their unfair competitive advantage created by the priority given to feed-in of renewable energies.
A German hard coal-fired power plant has generation costs of between €50/MWH and €60/MWh, depending on its age. At the moment, however, it receives only about €35/MWh for the generated base load, i.e. it can usually achieve only very low contribution margins, if any at all, with the consequence that power revenues fall far short of covering the total operating costs.
This has prompted Dr Wolfgang Cieslik, VDKi CEO, to call on politicians for action:
“We urgently need a form of regulation which will guarantee hard coal-fired power plants a return to profitability in the long term as well because this is the only course which can guarantee the security and profitability of power supply and the successful realisation of the energy turnaround.”
Despite the increase in steam coal imports of 3.3% in Q1 2014, the VDKi estimates that only 37m tonnes of steam coal and 51m tonnes of hard coal and coke in total will be imported during all of 2014.
Price developments: A surplus in supply meets moderate demand
Developments in which a worldwide surplus in the supply of coal runs into demand which is not growing fast enough began in 2011, and the trend continued in 2013. Prices remained under pressure in 2013 as a result. From October 2013 to today (beginning of July 2014) alone, prices for steam coal fell from US$89/tonne to US$72/tonne, about 20%. The same is true of coking coal prices. Both coking coal and coke prices declined in 2013 because of the general slump in demand accompanied by a simultaneous expansion in supply.
While prices between US$160 and US$165/tonne were still being paid for coking coal at the beginning of 2013, this level had decreased to US$138/tonne by the end of 2013. This development continues to hold sway in 2014; as of the middle of 2014, spot prices for HCC quality had fallen to US$116/tonne.
- German Coal Importer Association -
About the German Coal Importer Association
The Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. (VDKi) is the lobby organisation for the hard coal import market in Germany. Its German and European members come from the sectors power, industry, trade and logistics. The Association currently has 78 members who consume about 70% of the German demand for hard coal of approximately 61 million tonnes in their facilities. The VDKi clearly represents the major part of the hard coal market (German domestic and imported hard coal) in Germany.
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Wednesday, 09 July 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
The mini-boom in dry bulker values catapulted ship prices too fast too far over the last one-and-a-half year. The concurrence of historically low p ...
Tuesday, 08 July 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALL AGAIN IN JULY; LOST 1.62%
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia again revised down the coal bench mark price in July. HBA for month of J ...
Tuesday, 08 July 14
ENERGY IN THE MIX - INTERMODAL SHIPBROKERS
With the Tanker freight market having showed much promise this year compared to the performance that had been noted during the previous five, it is ...
Monday, 07 July 14
INDONESIA STATE-CONTROLLED COAL MINER BUKIT ASAM TO TRADE COAL ON-LINE THROUGH JFX
COALspot.com: Indonesian state owned coal miner PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) has teamed up with Jakarta Futures Exchange (JFX) to sell ...
Monday, 07 July 14
RBCT, THE WORLD'S SINGLE LARGEST EXPORT COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 31.91 MMT OF COAL IN H1 2014
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the world’s single largest export coal terminal, shipped 31.91 million ton ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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