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Wednesday, 23 July 14
HARD COAL 2013: THE WORLD'S SECOND-MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE AND GUARANTOR FOR THE SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING TIMES OF CRISIS
Hard coal is again in 2013 the fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in the world. As shown in the BP Statistical Review 2014, it covered about 30% of the world’s demand for primary energy of 12.7 billion TOE (tonnes of oil equivalent).
According to the German Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), coal, which has a share of 56% of the reserves and about 89% of the resources of all fossil primary energy sources, has the greatest potential among all of the non-renewable energy sources and has been declared to be the most important energy source.
Hard coal is also broadly distributed over many regions, and calculations by the VDKi based on today’s quantities, prices, and costs indicate that there are sufficient quantities to last for at least another 110 years. Even if a significant coal-exporting country were to prohibit the export of coal tomorrow (speaking theoretically), producing countries on other continents would be able to compensate the loss without any problems.
The VDKi would like to call attention to the fact that the debate on the security of supply has become one-sided and closely focused on securing supply using primary energy sources tied to pipelines. The primary topic is the security of our electric power supply. Coal has a number of advantages in this respect. In contrast to renewable energies, it is available at all times. Moreover, it is not tied to pipeline facilities, can be stockpiled as an energy source right at power plant sites, is found all around the world, and there are many and varied means of transport across both the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans.
Global hard coal consumption rises by 3%
According to initial estimates by BP in its Statistical Review 2014, global energy consumption of 12.7bn TOE (= tonne oil equivalent = 1 tonne OE = oil equivalent = 1.43 TCE) in 2013 rose by a little less than 2.3% in comparison with 2012 (12.5bn TOE). The background to this development is the low or non-existent growth in many OECD countries such as in Europe and Japan (with the exception of the USA). Coal consumption continued to increase in China (+4.4%) and India (+3.8%), on the other hand, although growth was more moderate than in previous years.
Coal consumption once again posted the strongest rise. In comparison with 2012, there was growth of 3%. The decline in coal consumption in the USA by 11.9% in 2012 was followed by growth of 4.3% in 2013. In terms of the average growth rates of 3.5% over the past five years, coal is and remains the Number 1 source of primary energy in the 21st century and has been the second-most important source of primary energy in the world since 2012, surpassed only by oil.
Estimates by the EU Commission indicate that total primary energy consumption in Europe declined by 0.6% (98m TOE) to 1.49bn TOE. The initial estimates indicate that there has been virtually no change in the mix of primary energy sources used for electric power generation in the EU 28. Hard coal and lignite together maintained their share of 27%, while hard coal alone posted a share of 19% in spite of the massive expansion of renewable energies. However, hard coal output in Europe declined by 15m tonnes to 114m tonnes. On the other hand, hard coal imports to the EU 28 rose by 3m tonnes (+1.4%) to 216m tonnes.
Seaborne world trade in steam coal grows by 6% World trade in hard coal totalling 1,237m tonnes in 2013 represented an increase of 73m tonnes (about 6%) in comparison with the previous year. Seaborne and internal trade posted the following development: in 2013, seaborne trade rose by 60m tonnes to 1,142m tonnes (= +5.5%), while internal trade increased by 18m tonnes (= +16%) to 95m tonnes. The steam coal market grew by 4% (37m tonnes) to a total of 863m tonnes.
Projections from the IEA show that the demand for coal will grow worldwide by an average of 2.3% p.a. over the coming years.
Preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first four months of 2014 indicate that the seaborne hard coal market worldwide grew by just under 3% (10m tonnes) in comparison with the same period of the previous year.
Coking coal market grows by 9%
Worldwide crude steel production in 2013 reached the level of 1,607m tonnes, a new record. The increase by 3.5% (59m tonnes) occurred mainly in Asia (+6%) and in the Middle East (+2.5%). Crude steel production in Europe, North and South America, Russia and Korea declined by between 1.8% and 4.4%. Pig iron production, the decisive factor for the consumption of coking coal, PCI coal and coke, rose by 52m tonnes (about 5%) to 1,164m tonnes. The coking coal market increased correspondingly by 23m tonnes (+9%) to 279m tonnes.
With the exception of Australia, there were no fundamental changes in the supplier structure. Australia’s market share increased by another 8 percentage points and has now reached the mark of 61%. The USA again lost market share to Australia and now holds a share of 20%.
Hard coal and coke imports to Germany rise by 10%, hard coal consumption increases by 4%
The demand for domestic German and imported hard coal rose by 2.4m TCE (4.1%) to almost 61m TCE in 2013. About 86% of the demand for hard coal was covered by imports; domestic coal today covers only about 14%. Total imports of hard coal and coke reached a new record level of 52.8m tonnes in 2013, an increase by 4.9m tonnes (10%) over 2012.
Most of the hard coal sales go to power plants as the dominant buyers (71%; previous year 66%) and the iron and steel industry (26%; previous year 30%); the heating market (4%) plays only a subordinate role. The import demand for steam coal was covered primarily by Russia, the USA and Colombia, while the primary supplier countries for coking coal were Australia (45%) and the USA (30%).
Power generation from hard coal-fired power plants rose substantially in 2013 thanks to the favourable price situation in comparison with gas and the low CO2 certificate prices in European emission trading. Hard coal-fired power plants supplied 124 TWh of electric power, about 8 TWh (6.5%) more than in the past year, giving hard coal a share of more than 19% in the energy mix in 2013.
The balance in power exchange (total exports less imports) in 2013 amounted to about 34 TWh, an increase of 46% over 2012.
The price advantage of coal over gas (difference between the so-called clean dark spread less clean spark spread) in recent years has fluctuated between €-15 and €-25 per MWh. However, this difference favouring hard coal must not be allowed to obscure the fact that the revenues from power generation are inadequate because of the artificially low prices on the EEX and their unfair competitive advantage created by the priority given to feed-in of renewable energies.
A German hard coal-fired power plant has generation costs of between €50/MWH and €60/MWh, depending on its age. At the moment, however, it receives only about €35/MWh for the generated base load, i.e. it can usually achieve only very low contribution margins, if any at all, with the consequence that power revenues fall far short of covering the total operating costs.
This has prompted Dr Wolfgang Cieslik, VDKi CEO, to call on politicians for action:
“We urgently need a form of regulation which will guarantee hard coal-fired power plants a return to profitability in the long term as well because this is the only course which can guarantee the security and profitability of power supply and the successful realisation of the energy turnaround.”
Despite the increase in steam coal imports of 3.3% in Q1 2014, the VDKi estimates that only 37m tonnes of steam coal and 51m tonnes of hard coal and coke in total will be imported during all of 2014.
Price developments: A surplus in supply meets moderate demand
Developments in which a worldwide surplus in the supply of coal runs into demand which is not growing fast enough began in 2011, and the trend continued in 2013. Prices remained under pressure in 2013 as a result. From October 2013 to today (beginning of July 2014) alone, prices for steam coal fell from US$89/tonne to US$72/tonne, about 20%. The same is true of coking coal prices. Both coking coal and coke prices declined in 2013 because of the general slump in demand accompanied by a simultaneous expansion in supply.
While prices between US$160 and US$165/tonne were still being paid for coking coal at the beginning of 2013, this level had decreased to US$138/tonne by the end of 2013. This development continues to hold sway in 2014; as of the middle of 2014, spot prices for HCC quality had fallen to US$116/tonne.
- German Coal Importer Association -
About the German Coal Importer Association
The Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. (VDKi) is the lobby organisation for the hard coal import market in Germany. Its German and European members come from the sectors power, industry, trade and logistics. The Association currently has 78 members who consume about 70% of the German demand for hard coal of approximately 61 million tonnes in their facilities. The VDKi clearly represents the major part of the hard coal market (German domestic and imported hard coal) in Germany.
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Friday, 05 September 14
U.S. PRODUCED 19.2 MMST OF COAL LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 04 September 14
PUNJAB STATE POWER CORPORATION LIMITED OF INDIA HAS DECIDED TO BUY IMPORTED COAL - HINDUSTAN TIMES
COALspot.com: The Punjab State Power Corporation Limited (PSPCL) has decided to buy imported coal to run its thermal plants, as reported by Hindust ...
Thursday, 04 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL MINERS MAY GET MORE TIME ON ROYALTIES - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that coal miners in Indonesia are likely to get more time to repay the government the royalties that were set off ...
Thursday, 04 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS SLIDE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average October 2014 decreased US$ 0.90 (-1.68%) day on day and US$ 1.80 (-3.31%) per mt week on week. The ...
Thursday, 04 September 14
CAPESIZE : SENTIMENT REMAINS POSITIVE FOR Q3/Q4 - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Atlantic market has experienced more activity this week. Rates for TA´s are up about 8% w-o-w, much lead by an increasing number ...
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Showing 3506 to 3510 news of total 6871 |
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
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