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Monday, 14 July 14
THE END OF THE ERA OF HEAVY FUEL OIL IN MARITIME SHIPPING - ICCT
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Since the 1960s, heavy fuel oil (HFO) has been the king of marine fuels. Viscous, dirty, yet inexpensive and widely available, HFO propelled a long period of robust growth in international shipping, which carries over 90% of intercontinental trade by volume each year. For many, it is the lifeblood of the maritime shipping industry.
But HFO’s low price does not reflect its impacts on the environment and human health. The sulfur content of HFO can be up to 35,000 parts per million. It is the reason that maritime shipping accounts for 8% of global emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), making the industry an important source for acid rain as well as respiratory diseases. In some populous port cities, such as Hong Kong, shipping is the largest single source of SO2 emissions as well as emissions of particulate matter (PM), which are directly tied to the sulfur content of fuel. By one estimate, PM emissions from maritime shipping led to 87,000 premature deaths worldwide in 2012.
The International Maritime Organization (IMO), the governing body of international shipping, has made a decisive effort to diversify the industry away from HFO into cleaner fuels with less harmful effects on the environment and human health. Effective in 2015, ships operated within the Emission Control Areas (ECAs) covering the Economic Exclusive Zone of North America, the Baltic Sea, the North Sea, and the English Channel will begin to use Marine Gas Oil (MGO) with allowable sulfur content up to 1,000 ppm. Starting from 2020, ships sailing outside ECAs will switch to Marine Diesel Oil (MDO) with permitted sulfur content up to 5,000 ppm.*
That tectonic shift also creates openings for a variety of new fuels. Liquefied nature gas (LNG), newly abundant and relatively affordable, is attracting the attention of many shipping companies. Although the lack of infrastructure and the uncertainty of future prices have slowed the “dash to gas,” many expect LNG to establish itself as one of major alternatives to HFO in the future. Lloyds Registry, a shipping classification society, expects LNG to take 11% of the market share in 2030.
Meanwhile, Stena Teknik, a Swedish company, is testing methanol, another natural gas product, but one that requires less storage space in a ship and is relatively easier to handle. While natural gas-based fuels may sometimes offer questionable climate benefits, due to methane leakage concerns, the IMO’s low-sulfur regulation may create needed openings for other zero-sulfur, low-carbon marine fuels. Tests using fuel cells on the Viking Lady, an offshore supply ship, demonstrated promising results.
Wind kites and solar panels have already been installed on numerous ships to supplement marine diesel engines. Even HFO will not completely disappear from the menu of marine fuels. Combined with scrubbers that capture more than 99% of the sulfur from the exhaust gas, HFO will continue to play an important role. Lloyds Registry reckons that HFO will represent about 40% of fuel use by 2030.
The shift to cleaner but pricier low-sulfur fuels is likely to heighten interest in the “fifth fuel”: energy efficiency. Historically, the maritime shipping industry, where energy often accounts for over half of operating costs, has responded to escalating fuel prices with innovative energy-saving strategies. To cite a recent example: in 2008, as fuel prices went through the roof, shipping lines cut their operating speeds by as much as 50%, helping many companies stay afloat amid one of the worst downturns in history. In an analysis of satellite data on ship operations, we’ve estimated that the industry can further slash 100 million ton of fuel use by 2030 through wider implementation of energy-saving measures that were adopted by industry leaders in 2011.
This is in addition to savings of 90 million tons of fuel because of the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI), a mandatory program that will require new ships to achieve certain efficiency targets beginning in 2015.
The continued diversification of marine fuels and improvements in energy efficiency have important implications. First and foremost, they may alleviate concerns about the availability of low-sulfur fuels. Figure 1 illustrates one possible scenario, using our forecast on future marine fuel consumption and energy efficiency improvements as well as Lloyds Registry’s estimate of market shares for HFO and LNG. The efficiency improvement of the legacy fleet is the greatest force driving down the need for low-sulfur fuels, equivalent to adding about 110 “negatons” of fuel, or almost 24% of projected demand. HFO combined with scrubbers, EEDI, and distillates (MGO plus MDO) are almost neck and neck, each representing about 20% of fuel use in the chart. LNG is coming of age, with its share doubling between 2020 and 2030. Other fuels, such as renewables, fuel cells, and biofuels, are expected to hold only small market shares in 2030.
Second, the new fuels are on a collision course with IMO safety regulations concerning flashpoint, the temperature at which a fuel can vaporize to form an ignitable mixture in air.
The IMO currently requires marine fuels to have a minimum flashpoint of 60°C. But low-sulfur fuels have a lower flashpoint (50° to 55°C), meaning that they are “off-spec” and cannot be used under the IMO rule. The flashpoint requirement, which went into effect in 1976, was meant to provide a large margin of error to ensure the temperature of the engine room (normally below 45°C) does not exceed the flashpoint in any circumstance. But according to industry heavyweights such as Maersk and BIMCO, modern technologies such as advanced ventilation systems provide an adequate safety margin, and they argue that keeping the flashpoint requirement will cause the industry to miss the opportunity represented by the increased availability of low-sulfur, low-flashpoint fuels. Industry and member states such as the U.S. are urging the IMO to accelerate its consideration of an amendment to the flashpoint requirement.
By: Haifeng Wang / The International Council of Clean Transportation
*Implementation of the requirement is subject to a review of fuel availability to be completed by 2016.
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Saturday, 25 March 23
COAL INDIA HAS STRONG CASE TO INCREASE PRICES, TALKS ON: CMD AGRAWAL - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India (CIL) Chairman and Managing Director Pramod Agrawal said on Monday there is a “strong case” for increasing coal prices, and ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
ASIAN CRUDE PALM OIL WATCH 1Q23 - FITCH RATINGS
Malaysian benchmark crude palm oil (CPO) spot prices have averaged around USD915 per tonne (t) so far in 1Q23, sharply lower than the average of ar ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORT INCREASED BY 21.0% YOY TO 388.4 MLN T IN 2022 - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels. In the f ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
GLOBAL LNG-ASIA SPOT PRICES SLIP AS WEAK NORTHERN DEMAND REMAINS - REUTERS
Asian spot prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) declined this week, falling to a 21-month low, as weak demand in the northeast Asia region continu ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
OIL PRICE FALL SPECULATIVE, TO HIT $140 BY YEAR-END -ANDURAND: REUTERS
The recent fall in oil prices due to banking jitters is speculative and oil will hit $140 a barrel by the end of the year, hedge fund manager Pierr ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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