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Friday, 27 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LOOKING FOR UPSIDE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS

The dry bulk market has kept up its lacklustre performance during the past week, as evidenced by the course of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The BDI ended yesterday further down by 22 points, to 824, well below the 1,000-point mark. All major segments fell yesterday, with the Capesize market leading the fall.

According to this week’s report from shipbroker Fearnleys, in the Capesize market, “the bottom has hopefully been reached for now, with a steady number of fixtures out of West Australia to China at USD 7,75 pmt, as well as handful of fixtures out of Brazil at going freight of USD 21,50 pmt. More activity out of Brazil is expected, which will result in immediate healthier rates. Period activity however still remaining slow with one year levels presently sub usd 20,000, considered too low by most owners”, the shipbroker said.

Meanwhile, on the Panamax front, “this week started slowly with little fresh requirements in both hemispheres and this continued as the week went on. We are expecting the index to set a new all-time low on 4tc average before this week is over. In the Atlantic all operators and owners are struggling to fix their prompt ships. Most ships are still trading, but we expect to see more and more ships dropping anchor soon as a trans-Atlantic round is paying close to zero and fronthaul is now well below USD 10k. It is slightly easier to fix your ship in the east, at least if you are willing to accept aps rates with a low ballast bonus.

A pacific round pays around USD 3000 daily. The period market has of course come down as well. But there has been some period activity as we see some owners are willing to take around USD 8000 for a short period as the alternative is so much worse”, Fearnleys said.

Finally, on the Handy markets, “in the Atlantic there has been little activity which again has caused rates to slip across all trades. TA´s are now down to Usd 5,500 and it is no doubt that this market is heading south before the summer holidays are upon us. Some owners have been able to clear their schedule with letting ships go for shorter or longer periods and achieving decent rates for same with 12k being done for 2 years. The market in Feast remains quiet and weak but rates are somewhat holding steady.

Vessels open Singapore were fixed arnd 8K for trips to India while the ECO tonnage can achieve slightly more. For trips to S.China Supras could fix around 7K. NOPAC is paying arnd 9K +290K BB bss APS. S.Africa is still weakening For trips East rates are around 8,500-9K + 150K BB”, the shipbroker concluded.

Meanwhile, according to shipbroker Intermodal, in the newbuilding market, “the trend of the week prior resumed, with tankers and dry bulkers monopolizing the list of recently reported deals. Prices have not yet witnessed the pressure one would expect under the current overall market environment but the truth is that in most cases the actual discount would not be as obvious, as shipbuilders have been including free extras in their quotes rather than offering straight forward price discounts. This means that actual prices have softened a bit further than what the yards are willing to admit or rather than what current orders reveal. It will be interesting to see how August will pan out for the market, as traditionally there tends to be a step back from over marketing slots during this period and in this instance we might actually get to see the above mentioned discount manifesting on the actual prices. In terms of new orders, the Australian group, Fortescue Metals, has placed an order at Jiangsu New YZJ, in China, for four firm VLOCs (260,000dwt), for a price of US $ 68.75m each and with delivery set between 2016 and 2017″, said Intermodal.

Finally, in the ever-so critical demolition market, Intermodal said that “prices continue to correct downwards in the demolition market and despite the fact that the sales reported this past week appear to still hold around last dones, the reality is that the average bids out of the Indian Sub-Continent are in fact way lower.

The Indian Rupee continues to be the main cause of concern here. The currency lost further strength against the US Dollar for yet another week, on the back of local importers displaying increased appetite for the Greenback. The presence of cash buyers, who are betting on a reverse of the negative climate is still evident though in last week’s sales, the majority of which was once again concluded by Indian breakers at firm levels. The truth is that demo prices have sustained their strength overall during 2014, hence the appetite at these levels is excused if one takes into account the overall performance of the market as well as the resistance of prices during the greater part of the year.

The rest of the market remained stable, with activity remaining lackluster overall. Average prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 325-485$/ldt and dry units received about 310-465$/ldt”, the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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