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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 20 May 14
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME UP 39.11 PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 19 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO IMPROVE OVER THE COURSE OF 2014, BUT OVERSUPPLY STILL AN ISSUE SAYS BIMCO'S CHIEF SHIPPING ANALYST
As a gruelling first quarter edges closer to the end, dry bulk ship owners are looking at an improved second quarter demand, which, coupled with sl ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS BOUND FOR A RECOVERY CLAIMS PARAGON SHIPPING'S HEAD MICHAEL BODOUROGLOU
The dry bulk market is bound for a recovery in the coming weeks, as the market will be better balanced, said Mr. Michael Bodouroglou, Chairman and ...
Monday, 19 May 14
INDO COAL SWAPS FOR AVERAGE Q3' 2014 DELIVERY LOST ON WEEK AND ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports release ...
Monday, 19 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST 2.49% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.49 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.35 per mt as on F ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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