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Wednesday, 23 April 14
EUROPE WOULD BE HARD PRESSED TO REPLACE RUSSIAN GAS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
A ban on Russian gas imports to the EU would cause substantial disruption to Europe's economy and industry, Fitch Ratings says. In the immediate aftermath, the region would suffer from gas shortages and high prices due to its limited ability to reduce demand, source alternative supplies and transport gas to the most affected countries. A surge in gas prices after a ban would probably also have knock-on effects on electricity, coal and oil prices. Industry would bear the brunt of supply shortages as household demand would be given priority.
A lengthy ban on Russian gas is a low-probability, but high-impact scenario. Russia supplies around 27% of Europe's gas and, given the high cost a ban would impose on all sides, we believe it would take a severe deterioration in the Ukraine crisis for it to happen. A temporary disruption just affecting gas supplies via Ukraine is a more likely scenario, for which Europe is better prepared due to high reserves and the recent opening of a new pipeline from Russia to Germany.
In the event of a lengthy ban imposed by either Europe or Russia, gas-intensive sectors such as steel and chemicals would be most affected. This would accelerate the closure or mothballing of capacity that is suffering from low profitability due to competition from low-cost energy jurisdictions such as the US or Middle East. In particular, issuers without geographic and product diversification would be most at risk of adverse rating action.
In 2013 Russia supplied 145bcm of gas to Europe, which would have great difficulty in sourcing alternative supplies. Increased European gas production and North African piped gas could offset a small proportion of this. Tapping into the global LNG market would yield limited volumes as Europe's Russian gas demand equates to nearly half of the world's LNG production, which is already mostly tied to long-term supply contracts. Hence, gas and other energy prices could surge.
In theory, Europe has plenty of unused LNG regasification capacity, which could help replace some Russian supplies. But the majority of plants are located in Southern Europe and the UK, far away from the Central and Eastern European countries that are most reliant on Russian gas. The European gas networks suffer from bottlenecks, which limit the ability to transport gas across borders.
Demand reduction initiatives would only be of limited benefit. Japan was able to reduce power demand by 4.7% following the Fukushima disaster, but this was partly weather-related and achieving that level of reduction across 28 countries with their own agendas and exposures would be far harder.
For more details on the impact that a ban on Russian gas would have on Europe, please see the report "Living Without Russian Gas - Replacing Russian Gas in the Short-term" published today and available from www.fitchratings.com. The report is the first in a series that will examine the potential impact on European utilities and how Europe could reduce its energy reliance on Russia in the longer term.
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Tuesday, 18 March 14
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORT VOLUME FALLS 26.23% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 17 March 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, total 2 ...
Monday, 17 March 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FOR AVERAGE Q2 14 DELIVERIES LOST 2.59% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 2.59 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.15 per mt as o ...
Sunday, 16 March 14
BDI DOWN ON LOW CAPESIZE ACTIVITY
COALspot.com: The freight market was slightly soft this week with BDI down by 4.28 pct week on week. The BDI closed at 1,477 points and the cape ...
Friday, 14 March 14
DRY BULK MARKET ENTERS RECOVERY MODE, ON INCREASED CAPESIZE DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has entered and sustained higher ground as of this week, on the back on increased Capesize demand. Although the situation in ...
Friday, 14 March 14
US, THE WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST COAL PRODUCER MINED 75.3 MMST OF COAL IN FEBRUARY; DOWN 10.88% M-M
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.7 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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