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Friday, 07 March 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO BENEFIT FROM CHINA'S GDP GROWTH TARGET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With the dry bulk market freight rates finally making waves, China's aim of 7.5% GDP growth for 2014 mean once again positive news for the shipping market, in particular dry bulk. According to a note released yesterday by BIMCO's Chief Shipping Analyst, Mr. Peter Sand, "despite being a little down on the 2013 GDP growth of 7.7%, the growth target of 7.5% set by China’s Premier Li Keqiang at his first appearance at China’s annual parliamentary session bodes well for shipping, trade, and commodity demand in 2014".
According to the note, in 2013, Chinese seaborne imports surpassed the 2 billion tonnes, mark according to CRSL. To put that into perspective, it means that China has now more than doubled its imports from one billion tonnes in 2008 to 2.1 billion tonnes in just five years.
Imports of dry bulk commodities dominate the trade by accounting for 74% in 2013. Led by iron ore, which accounts for 39%, the scope of imports become larger and wider every day. Peter Sand, says: “The importance of China to the shipping market is second to none. This goes for all major shipping segments. In spite of leaving the double-digit growth rates behind us in the previous decade, the sheer size of the world’s second-largest economy now gives so much impetus to our industry that we have become addicted to China.”
The announcement of the target, delivered during the 12th National People’s Congress on 5 March, comes after a couple of month where the Chinese economy has shown some weakness in Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) developments. Recent development in Chinese PMI showed an 8-month low in the official PMI, coming in at 50.2 in February. The HSBC China Manufacturing PMI posted at 48.5 in the same month supplements this slowing tendency. Both indexes agree on tougher conditions for smaller and medium-sized enterprises, whereas larger enterprises seem to fend off the headwind rather better. The average of China’s manufacturing PMI for 2013 was 50.2 for the HSBC/Markit indicator, which is more focused on smaller and medium-sized enterprises, whereas the official PMI indicator, which is more focused on the larger enterprises, averaged at 50.8. Going forward, expectations are very positive for both China and the world as such.
Sand went on to add that “a strong shipping market support from China is vital to pave the way back to a future sustainable market. Past contributions have been enormous. If the future holds more of the same, we will continue to see improvements in the fundamental balance between supply and demand”, the shipping analyst concluded. Meanwhile, the dry bulk market continued to make progress, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ending yesterday's session on yet another rise, with the Capesize market stealing the "show" once again. The BDI was up by 89 points to 1,480, with the Capesize Index rising by an impressive 234 points and reaching 2,830 points. Once again, the irregularities have made their appearance, with Supramaxes now trading higher (1,122 points) than their larger counterparts, the Panamaxes (1,056 points).
Meanwhile, in its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnley's noted on the Capesize market that "period rates have been improving steadily for some time, however over the last week rates have made some serious jumps. One year fixtures for 180k dwt are expected to be concluded in excess of USD 30k shortly, and Tubarao/Qingdao has in a relatively short period of time improved from sub USD 20 PMT to mid-20s. West Australian iron ore has been fairly unpredictable lately with earlier ships achieving a discounted freight compared to later ships, which is unusual. Now however the prompt positions are again achieving a premium with last done for such a position being USD 10.80. The expectations remain positive and the pace of the recovery in rates seems healthy".
On the Panamax front, Fearnley's said that "the Panamax market is struggling in both hemispheres. The Atlantic market has suffered for several weeks due to an overcapacity of tonnage and lack of fresh cargoes while we now see that the Pacific might be in for the same treat. Pac rounds are paying around 11k at time of writing. In the Atlantic, rounds are being fixed in region of USD 4-5k which is well below OpEx. Fronthauls are also suffering from lack of fresh iron ore and grain business, which again has caused rates to drop down to around USD 15/16k. The period market is surprisingly stable with rates hovering around USD 14k for 11/13 mos. The latter is much influenced by the strong FFA market and expectations for better days to come", the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 24 February 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO IMPROVE OVER THE COURSE OF 2014, BUT OVERSUPPLY STILL AN ISSUE SAYS BIMCO'S CHIEF SHIPPING ANALYST
As a gruelling first quarter edges closer to the end, dry bulk ship owners are looking at an improved second quarter demand, which, coupled with slo ...
Monday, 24 February 14
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY APRIL - JUNE 2014 SLIDES TO $ 58.60 PMT
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s the largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 slide week ended ...
Monday, 24 February 14
Q1 2015 DELIVERY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT 2.62% HIGHER THAN Q2 2014 CLOSING SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 2.68 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.20 per mt as on Fr ...
Saturday, 22 February 14
SHIPPING POISED TO RALLY AFTER SEVERAL WEEKS OF DROP
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady to firm with the dry bulk index up by 6.24 pct closing at 1,175 points week on week and the cape index w ...
Saturday, 22 February 14
POTEN RAISES THE QUESTION OF ACCURACY IN CALCULATING TANKER FREIGHT RATES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the tanker market has grown in complexity over the course of the past few years, the question of whether the traditional methods of assessing rat ...
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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