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Friday, 07 March 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO BENEFIT FROM CHINA'S GDP GROWTH TARGET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With the dry bulk market freight rates finally making waves, China's aim of 7.5% GDP growth for 2014 mean once again positive news for the shipping market, in particular dry bulk. According to a note released yesterday by BIMCO's Chief Shipping Analyst, Mr. Peter Sand, "despite being a little down on the 2013 GDP growth of 7.7%, the growth target of 7.5% set by China’s Premier Li Keqiang at his first appearance at China’s annual parliamentary session bodes well for shipping, trade, and commodity demand in 2014".
According to the note, in 2013, Chinese seaborne imports surpassed the 2 billion tonnes, mark according to CRSL. To put that into perspective, it means that China has now more than doubled its imports from one billion tonnes in 2008 to 2.1 billion tonnes in just five years.
Imports of dry bulk commodities dominate the trade by accounting for 74% in 2013. Led by iron ore, which accounts for 39%, the scope of imports become larger and wider every day. Peter Sand, says: “The importance of China to the shipping market is second to none. This goes for all major shipping segments. In spite of leaving the double-digit growth rates behind us in the previous decade, the sheer size of the world’s second-largest economy now gives so much impetus to our industry that we have become addicted to China.”
The announcement of the target, delivered during the 12th National People’s Congress on 5 March, comes after a couple of month where the Chinese economy has shown some weakness in Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) developments. Recent development in Chinese PMI showed an 8-month low in the official PMI, coming in at 50.2 in February. The HSBC China Manufacturing PMI posted at 48.5 in the same month supplements this slowing tendency. Both indexes agree on tougher conditions for smaller and medium-sized enterprises, whereas larger enterprises seem to fend off the headwind rather better. The average of China’s manufacturing PMI for 2013 was 50.2 for the HSBC/Markit indicator, which is more focused on smaller and medium-sized enterprises, whereas the official PMI indicator, which is more focused on the larger enterprises, averaged at 50.8. Going forward, expectations are very positive for both China and the world as such.
Sand went on to add that “a strong shipping market support from China is vital to pave the way back to a future sustainable market. Past contributions have been enormous. If the future holds more of the same, we will continue to see improvements in the fundamental balance between supply and demand”, the shipping analyst concluded. Meanwhile, the dry bulk market continued to make progress, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ending yesterday's session on yet another rise, with the Capesize market stealing the "show" once again. The BDI was up by 89 points to 1,480, with the Capesize Index rising by an impressive 234 points and reaching 2,830 points. Once again, the irregularities have made their appearance, with Supramaxes now trading higher (1,122 points) than their larger counterparts, the Panamaxes (1,056 points).
Meanwhile, in its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnley's noted on the Capesize market that "period rates have been improving steadily for some time, however over the last week rates have made some serious jumps. One year fixtures for 180k dwt are expected to be concluded in excess of USD 30k shortly, and Tubarao/Qingdao has in a relatively short period of time improved from sub USD 20 PMT to mid-20s. West Australian iron ore has been fairly unpredictable lately with earlier ships achieving a discounted freight compared to later ships, which is unusual. Now however the prompt positions are again achieving a premium with last done for such a position being USD 10.80. The expectations remain positive and the pace of the recovery in rates seems healthy".
On the Panamax front, Fearnley's said that "the Panamax market is struggling in both hemispheres. The Atlantic market has suffered for several weeks due to an overcapacity of tonnage and lack of fresh cargoes while we now see that the Pacific might be in for the same treat. Pac rounds are paying around 11k at time of writing. In the Atlantic, rounds are being fixed in region of USD 4-5k which is well below OpEx. Fronthauls are also suffering from lack of fresh iron ore and grain business, which again has caused rates to drop down to around USD 15/16k. The period market is surprisingly stable with rates hovering around USD 14k for 11/13 mos. The latter is much influenced by the strong FFA market and expectations for better days to come", the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 12 March 14
DRY BULK VESSELS STILL THE CREAM OF THE CROP FOR SHIP OWNERS
Dry bulk carriers have remained the most popular vessel type among ship owners as proven by the sheer number of second hand vessel sales and new ...
Tuesday, 11 March 14
HOLD HARMLESS CLAUSES ARE NOT ALWAYS MUTUAL! - ITIC
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
ITIC provides an insurance related contract review service to all of its members. As the leading professional indemnity i ...
Tuesday, 11 March 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 6.98% LESS COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 10 March 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, total 2 ...
Tuesday, 11 March 14
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS CONTINUES TO FALL
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 slip again thi ...
Monday, 10 March 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS LOST 4.28 PERCENT MONTH ON MONTH FOR Q2 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 4.28 percent month on month and closed at US$ 73.97 per mt as on Fr ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- MS Steel International - UAE
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- The University of Queensland
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