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Wednesday, 05 March 14
LEAVE IT TO CAPES TO CHANGE THE DIRECTION OF THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL


Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Stable+)
Leave it to Capes to change the direction of the Dry Bulk market. The big bulkers managed to drag the BDI higher, while Panamaxes are still struggling with unfavourable dynamics in both basins. The BDI closed today (04/03/2014) at 1,1325 points, up by 49 points compared to yesterday’s levels (23/03/2014) and an increase of 128 points compared to previous Tuesday’s closing (25/02/2014). Rates for VLs lost further ground this past week but firm volumes of activity have prevented the market from noting bigger declines, while the rate for the WAF/USAC voyage almost doubled in TCE terms after hovering around levels close to barely covering OPEX during the past couple of weeks. The BDTI Monday (03/03/2014), was at 717 points, a decrease of 36 points and the BCTI at 627, an increase of 21 points compared to the previous Monday (24/02/2014). 

Sale & Purchase (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable+)
SnP activity has slowed down further this week, with Panamax and Supramax tonnage monopolizing dry bulker sales.  With the freight market moving sideways, it seems that potential buyers might need a bit more convincing before placing their bids. On the tankers side, we had the sale of the “KIM JACOB” (159,211dwt-blt 98, S. Korea), which was reported sold to Greek buyers for a price of US$ 14.5m. On the dry bulker side, we had the sale of the “WHITE HALO” (55,830dwt-blt 12, Japan), which was picked by Greek buyers for a price of US$ 30.0m.

New building (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable+)
With newbuilding prices having quickly risen during the past year and slots being take up fairly swift for 2016 delivery, it looks as though we may have an eager rush for securing part of what appears to be limited shipbuilding capacity. The fears shared by many in the industry continue to be that this might escalate into yet another over exaggerated order book if the freight market doesn’t follow. Saying that, things continued to cool off this week, with the majority of the deals that were reported being exercise options of previously inked orders. It seems that the general market uncertainty, brought about both by the most recent events in Ukraine and by the considerably higher prices of this year compared to 2013, seems to have awakened a more cautious investment approach amongst owners considering placing an order, albeit this trend is most probably temporary. In terms of new orders, Taiwanese owner Sincere Navigation has placed an order for one VLOCs (250,000dwt) in China, for a reported price of $ 64.0m.

Demolition (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Stable-)
Activity on the demolition front has slowed down this past week and it seems that the market has no specific direction as we are watching prices moving both south and north depending on the country where bids are coming from. India is holding on tight to its Queen of Demolition title for yet another week, with average prices quoted still achieving very firm levels for both wet and dry tonnage. Despite the fact that there is a substantial amount of demo candidates in the country, this somehow hasn't weighed down on prices yet and it may well be that cash buyers are not willing to negotiate their vessels at softer prices. At the same time Bangladesh sat on the sidelines as local breakers appeared to be uninterested to follow the competition to further high levels. As Bangladesh remained inactive, Pakistan returned back into action, while Chinese yards were, once more, simple observers to any action taking place, especially after bids coming out of the country lost some further ground as well. Average prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 330-470$/ldt and dry units received about 320-465$/ldt.

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations |
research@intermodal.gr

Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis |
g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima |
e.tzima@intermodal.gr

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.



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