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Thursday, 20 February 14
SUPRAMAX: IN ASIA IS IMPROVING SIGNIFICANTLY AND TURNED FROM APS TO DOP MARKET


Handy
The activity is back in the market after Chinese holidays. Supramax in Asia is improving significantly and turned from APS to DOP market. We see rate improvements across all trades. For SE Asia rounds for modern Supras are fixing at around 11k level and trips via Indo to India paying around 12k. For the Aussie rounds back to China vessels are trading at around 14k level. For NOPAC rounds to SE Asia Supras are achieving around 10k and for backhaul around 3-4k. Short periods are trading in the region of 10-11k where long period is paying around 12k bss delivery Feast, much lead by the supporting and firming FFA market.

Panamax
We see two very different markets in the two hemispheres now. The Atlantic is still falling, here we see very little fresh cargoes coming out and the list of tonnage is growing. An Atlantic round now pays around USD 8500/day, and we see positional business being done at far lower levels. The ECSA market is still weak, with too many ballasters for first half of March putting pressure on the rates. ECSA/Feast is now down to around 15k+500k compared to around 16k+600k at the end of last week. The bright spot on the other hand is the Pacific. Here rates are pushing upwards and we see Australia rounds fixed around USD 12k and nopac rounds fixing above USD 14k/day. The period market remains healthy; 1-year period is still paying around USD 14k daily.

Capesize
Spot remains at very poor levels despite seeing a 16% improvement w-o-w to come in at a daily average of USD 9600, and the contango in this segment is still worrying. In dramatic contrast to a very uninspiring spot, a "Cadillac" 181k dwt/built 2014 with extremely economical speed/ consumption features has fetched USD 27k basis 10-14 months, delivery China end February - this comparing to some USD 23k on "standard" tonnage. Atlantic suffers from thin demand and continued/growing oversupply of tonnage, a situation not expected to change much in the days to come. At present the only bright spot is the Aussie/China coal and ore trades, being the sole reason for spot levels improving marginally.
Source: Fearnleys AS



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