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Thursday, 06 February 14
PANAMAX: FAR EAST IS ALMOST ABSENT AND ATLANTIC ON SLOW STEAM


Handy
Due to ongoing Chinese New Year the market is still quiet. Slowly we can see some fresh coal cargos entering the market with second half Feb/early March dates. T/C rates seem too slowly levelling out. Supras open China can be fixed around 4k+40k aps for SE. Asia coal rounds. For Indo / Idai Coal trips vessels can achieve around US$ 6K. For sand cargos from Cambodia vessel got fixed at around US$ 5K. NOPAC, large modern got fixed at around 8K + 330 BB. For the short period, vessels trading around US$ 9-10K depending on spec.

Panamax:
The Chinese New Year Luna holidays has brought the trading to a minimum this week. Far East is almost absent and Atlantic on slow steam. Some fresh coal orders from USEC and USG was covered at very low levels. US coal exports also down from January 2013 which also may have contributed to the low activity and rates for January. On the contrary the period marked seems to have stabilized and player seems to have a more positive outlook on the rest of the year. A modern Kamsarmax reported fixed for 2 years at 15k with option 1 mora at 16k. The upcoming grain season may have an impact on panamax rates for Q2 and predictions that iron ore export from Brasil will increase as well. T/A is now just around 10k. Nopac is under 9 levels, fronthauls despite little done around 16.5 + 650.00 aps. 1 year period is between 14-14.5 k.

Capesize
The rates remain weak in both Atlantic and Pacific, and its generally low activity mainly due to the holidays in China. However there is an anticipation the floor has been reached for now, although a serious improvement is not expected prior to the end of the holidays. This week West Australia round voyage has improved from 7.10 to 7.30 and tub / qd is still in the very upper 19s. When freight rates start to move in a positive direction, things may move quick however there are still a good number of ballasters and early ships which most likely will slow the development to some extent.
Source: FEARNLEYS AS



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