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Friday, 31 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL ON A FALL, EXPECTED TO WORSEN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS


The dry bulk market is definitely in the doldrums since the start of the year, in what could only be described as a "lost" month for industry players. With China's New Year holidays looming, things can only get even worse, before a potential rebound, beginning after the first few days of February. Yesterday, the dry bulk market's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was down once more, ending at 1,127 points, losing an additional 21 points. However, this time around it wasn't the Capesize segment which led the downfall, but the Panamax and Supramax markets, with the respective indexes losing 22 and 38 points.

Still, according to a recent note from shipbroker Lion Shipbrokers, this fall of the market was expected, "as the Far East is slowing down due to the forecoming Chinese New Year holidays. The celebrations are also known as the Spring Festival week (official dates: 31st January to 6th February) but practically holidays last for about 2 to 2.5 weeks" the shipbroker said.

In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnleys reiterated the above, by noting on the Capesize sector that "the  Chinese are getting in holiday mood as Chinese new year is approaching. There is a general lack of cargoes in the Atlantic as well as the pacific; west Australia to China is presently in the very low 7s pmt, with disappointingly low demand from the three majors. Vale employed three of the early ships yesterday for Tubarao / Qingdao in the upper 19s pmt. Freight levels are close to the lowest seen last year, however the major difference from last year is period rates are keeping strong, presently in the low 20,000s for a year which is indicating that spot rates will improve at one stage".

On the Panamax market, Fearnleys said that "with most players in China away for Lunar New Year holidays, the Panamax market is softening on less activity in both hemispheres. Some fresh cargoes entering the market for Feb dates are not enough to balance the current growing list of open positions. Transatlantic rounds at abt 12.000, Pacific rounds mid 8´s. Some major players are out trying to cover forward on COA bss, indicating timing is right. With expectations of a strong coming grain season the FFA market is giving some support for period fixtures, where pmaxes achieve 14K, Eco Kamsarmax 15 K for 1 year bss Feast dely", the shipbroker said.

Finally, in the Handy markets this past week, "in the Atlantic rates have been slowly sliding but ows can still achieve decent money for TArv´s. USG positions still being fixed in region high 20k ´s. We see a long and still growing list of spot vsls in the Pacific and the Chinese New Year approaching is not helping the situation. Some cargoes for beginning Feb loading are entering the mrkt, but not to the extent that it will make rates improve overnight. During the last week the Smax rates have hovered ard Usd 4k + 70-80k GBB for Indo rounds. One positive sign is the period market. Like the 2 bigger segments, the rate gap between spot and period deals is big and this shows some confidence for the months to come. One Tess 52 was fixed for one year at Usd 12k bss dely Japan", Fearnley's concluded.

Meanwhile, in the sale and purchase markets over the course of the past week, despite the fall noticed in the charter market and the increasing values of ships, buying interest continued to be strong. According to data from Lion Shipbrokers, in the dry bulk market: "Panamax MICHELLE D’AMATO (76K BLT 2005 TSUNEISHI/JAPAN) did find buyers quickly (within 2 weeks after she entered the s+p market) who paid a strong $22.8 mill for her. We picked up that clients of Sinokor of South Korea have purchased Greek controlled panamax unit KALYPSO (73K BLT 1997 SUMITOMO/JAPAN) for the firm price of $11.2 mill. Greek interests have committed the eco design ultramax unit DIETRICH OLDENDORFF (63.5K BLT FEB 2013 SINOPACIFIC DAYANG/CHINA) for $31 mill. In an off market deal, clients of Pacific Basin of Hong Kong are behind the acquisition of supramax AOYAMA (56K BLT 2006 MITSUI/JAPAN CR 4X30T) for the price $22.5 mill which is in line with last week’s deal of exact sister IKAN SERONG (56K BLT 2006 MITSUI/JAPAN CR 4X30T) for $23 mill. Having being inspected by almost 15 buyers (half of them Greeks), Japanese controlled grab fitted handymax NIKKEI PHOENIX (45K BLT 2002/JAPAN CR 4X30T) went naturally to Greek buyers (hearing clients of PL Shipping) for the level of $16 mill. Greek controlled handymax SPILIANI (43K BLT 1994 HYUNDAI/S. KOREA CR 4X35T) changed hands locally for $7.3 mill including a remaining time charter attached until November 2014 at $8,500 per day.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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