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Tuesday, 28 January 14
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS RETREAT TO OLD 'HABITS', REFUSING TO DEMOLISH OLD VESSELS, THREATENING MARKET RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
If one thing is clear as we reflect on the 2013 shipping markets, it's that ship owners took advantage of low prices, in order to acquire newer tonnage through the second hand and newbuilding markets. But, in them doing so, forgot to demolish their older ships, especially as we approached the end of the year, when the dry bulk market rebounded strongly. Of course, in business terms, this decision more than made financial sense. But, on the other hand, if demolition activity doesn't pick up during 2014, it could hurt the long term sustainability of the industry and throw out of the window all of the estimates of a healthier market as we move forward.
In its latest report, shipbroker Intermodal noted that "from the beginning of the second half of 2013 and all the way through December, we witnessed a continuous increase of buying interest in both the newbuilding and second hand market. The said interest was in fact so intense that many times the level a deal would be concluded at, would be excessively higher from the respective market at the time. We witnessed a lot of dry units, mainly modern ones that would come up as sales candidates, attracting named interest from many European buyers, who would later request an inspection. As the length of the list of potential buyers would grow longer, the news would quickly circulate in the market, driving Sellers’ ideas to higher levels and as a result many owners came closer to considering whether that would be a good time to sell one of their units and bag the cash for future acquisitions".
According to the shipbroker's SnP broker, Mr. Panos Makrinos, "despite the fact that asset prices displayed notable increases during 2013, we also watched an increase in the number of vessels that were sold compared to 2012, which is estimated to be around 23% higher. Similarly, in the newbuilding market we witnessed an increase of orders, which in this case doubled compared to the year before, with buyers being attracted more and more by modern designs of eco specs. The fact that newbuilding prices reached two-year highs didn’t seem to deter owners from ordering, as despite any increase achieved, the matter of fact was that prices still hovered around historically low levels", he noted.
However, Makrinos cautioned that "the demolition market didn’t share the same fate. The impressive activity witnessed in 2012 didn’t repeat itself in 2013, despite the fact that the market was waiting that this would be another record year and that demolition prices did reach levels that would be considered more than enticing for owners who were thinking to scrap their vessels. The intense SnP activity that drove asset prices higher was in a big part responsible for this lack of demo candidates. As a matter of fact, we saw many ships built in the 80s, which around the end of 2012 were expected to be scrapped sooner rather than later, being sold for further trading in levels well above scrap".
In his argument, Makrinos said that "the upwards course of freight rates also played an important role to both the increase of SnP activity and the slowing down of demolition activity. As owners kept witnessing the daily return of their units increasing substantially and in many cases reaching two year highs, the positive sentiment quickly filtered through the market, bringing along not only an overall optimistic tone but also the urge for new investment in the industry, especially from private equity funds".
Concluding, he mentioned that "for most, this current year is expected to be as good as 2013 to the least. If the freight market continues its steadily improving course we would most probably watch more funds being invested in shipping even from non-traditional shipping investors. Nonetheless, the overcapacity issue is still very much present and in order for 2014 to meet expectations we will also need to see more vessels heading for scrap, so that modern and newbuilding tonnage secure employment more easily. We wouldn’t be surprised if during this year we saw an increasing number of 90s built ships heading for breaking. In the same spirit China has in fact started to “seduce” owners with substantial subsidies for those who decide to scrap their units and replace them with an eco-newbuilding that will carry the Chinese flag. Hopefully, more countries will follow similar policies that will help excessive tonnage to leave the market and a much healthier demand/supply relationship to return", Intermodal's broker said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 28 January 14
RESOURCE NATIONALISM OR PROTECTIONISM FOR THE MINING AND EXTRACTIVES INDUSTRY - JOHN WHITTAKER & MICHAEL SWANGARD
Resource nationalism or protectionism for the mining and extractives industry as well as soft commodities sector and the oil industry.
‘Res ...
Monday, 27 January 14
MERCATOR SINGAPORE REPORTS 52% INCREASE IN EBITDA FOR Q3 FY 2014 AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS QUARTER
COALspot.com: Mercator Lines (Singapore) Limited, a leading Indian-owned international dry bulk shipping company that operates a fleet of fourteen d ...
Monday, 27 January 14
13TH CLEAN COAL FORUM 2014
COALspot.com: (Press Release) - Produced by CDMC Events, The 13th Clean Coal Forum 2014 will be held on June 12 &13 2014 in Beijing, China. We a ...
Monday, 27 January 14
Q3 & Q4 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CONTINUE TO REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1 14 delivery lost 4.45 percent month on month and closed at US$ 79.05 per mt as on Frid ...
Monday, 27 January 14
Q3 2014 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST GROUND, ENDS AT $60 PMT
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost 2.29% pmt month on month on Friday 24 January 2014. Th ...
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