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Thursday, 16 January 14
PANAMAX : THE GAP BETWEEN SPOT AND PERIOD HAS INCREASED IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNRESEARCH


Handy
In the Atlantic we have seen rates slowly sliding on lack of enough fresh business. USG/Continent still paying excess 28k and seems on an upward trend while the rest of the trades are all sliding south. Yet another quiet week in Feast and we expect same trend up to the holidays. There are number of ships open in N.China struggling to find business. Even ships in the south have been laying spot for several days. Vsls open North China are talking USD 6k for Indo-S.China rounds. The trips to India are being fixed on an APS+BB basis and rates are hovering around USD 8k+80k. WCI/ MEG and South Africa rates remain firm with a shortage of available tonnage.

Panamax
The gap between spot and period has increased in both hemispheres. The underlying optimism has been supported by a rising forward curve and ajor grain houses picking short period and 1-year candidates in Pacific. Owners achieve healthy 14k + del Pacific and above 15k from PMO for 1 year not all that bad considering BPI average 2013 tick above 9700. Mid week, activity in Pacific did show signs of improvement. However, now an increasing que of available tonnage are facing APS rates under 10k for Indo rounds. Strong winter in North Atlantic adding nice premium to brave Owners able to breach INL or move into ice conditions. Otherwise Atlantic seems a bit under pressure for prompt tonnage, fixing mid teens. Fronthaul in a turning point - up from about 23,500.

Capesize
The first half of the week saw the cape indices continue to plummet in particular the C9 TA index, which lost a whopping $30k w-o-w, as Drummond Co. declared force majeure on its coal shipments from Colombia after the U.S. mining company failed to complete on time a port upgrade. The Pacific remains oversupplied and Australian ore miners remain relatively quiet deals concluded between $7.10 and $7.50 range at time of writing. Wednesday has seen a slight uptick on Tub/China rates with the prevailing rate back over the $20 pmt mark. It is noticeable that the inverse to spot has narrowed to almost par (Spot at 12888, Feb trading at 12750) and the curve maintains its strong contango with Q2 trading $15500, Q3 at $20500, and Q4 at $26500. Notable period deals include a 180k dwt vessel with decent speed and consumptions fixing for 1 year at index with a 5% premium.
Source: Fearnresearch



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