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Wednesday, 25 December 13
SHIPPING : AS FAR AS THIS CYCLE IS CONCERNED, 'WE HAVE SEEN THE WORST....!' - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In a week’s time the year comes to an end. Having been a speaker in two seminars over the past 5 days I was able to see the year ending trends and some very interesting points and findings that stood out which I would like to share with you. In the first half of 2013 the Dry Cargo freight markets, found Capes earning much less than all other dry bulk size segments. This was rectified after June and today the rates are currently more or less back in line with the respective carrying capacity and we hope that the momentum will feed through to 2014.
On the SnP front, activity was superb. We had more than 1,500 deals concluded so far in the year. The total USD outlay, from sales of which details are disclosed, is slightly more than $ 21bn. The respective figures for 2012 are 1,200 deals and $14bn outlay. Compared to 2012, S&P activity on average was up by 26-27% on just about every month. Dry Bulk vessels prices have increased significantly over the past 12 months. The most notable increase was noted in a 5 yr old Panamax that has shot up by more than 50%. Last year, you could buy a 5 yr old Panamax with $ 17-18m. Today with the same money you are just about purchasing a 10 yr old Panamax!!! Rising price didn’t deter investors from acquiring vessels. To the contrary we can say. The fact that conventional financing was practically scarce meant that a very important chunk of SnP deals was mostly financed by “own pockets” and/or alternative sources of finance.
Additionally, trust in the banking system was shaken this year. The fearful and sad scenario of thousands realizing that their bank deposits could suffer a tremendous haircut over-a-weekend, as it happened in Cyprus, made many shipowners and others turn into a what appeared as a much safer investment ; Shipping.
On the Newbuilding sector, we had many new orders, with more than 870 bulkers, 527 Tankers, 161 Gas Carriers and 243 Containers being contracted during this year so far. The majority of these contracts have gone to Chinese builders, whose share of orders this year amounts to more than Korea’s and Japan’s shares added up together. Non-availability of slots has taken off a lot of pressure from major shipbuilders to further reduce their prices and from a point onwards they actually started to charge a premium for earlier slots. However, if we still look back, current newbuilding prices are still on the low side.
Demolition stats show that more than 50m tons of DWT carrying capacity was taken from the world active fleet, compared to more than 60m tons in 2012. Nevertheless, last year was a record year and therefore difficult to match, therefore the fact that this year’s figure stands at these levels is still very significant. India appears to have been the leading demo country in both number of ships and dwt scrapped there, while China comes second in number of ships and 3rd in dwt. Demo prices hold firm, with the average since 2009 standing above $400 per ldt, always supported by the strong demand for steel. It goes without saying that the increased demolition activity we have seen over the past 4 years, tremendously helps alleviate the pressure of new tonnage entering the active fleet.
In general, we consider 2013 to be a year of momentum, with a lot of investment opportunities being “grabbed” by a number of players in the market. We are of the strong belief and share the opinion of many shipping professionals that, as far as this cycle is concerned, “we have seen the worst… !”
Happy New Year to All, full of health, joy, happiness and successful shipping deals!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 18 November 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST ON WEEK; MARGINALLY GAINED ON DAY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.25 pmt month on month on Friday 15 Novemb ...
Sunday, 17 November 13
Q4' 14 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.43 PMT (4.34 %) HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 SWAP
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.05 percept d-d on Friday 15 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Saturday, 16 November 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FIRM DUE TO STRONG COAL ACTIVITIES
COALspot.com: The Cape and Panamax index was down this week and pulling down the BDI by about 5 pct. BDI was closed at 1507 points on Friday 1 ...
Friday, 15 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LINGERING ON, DESPITE PREDICTIONS OF NEW IMMINENT RALLY PRIOR TO THE YEAR'S END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn't yet managed to stage a new comeback after its retreat from the recent multiyear highs. Yesterday, the industry's benchm ...
Friday, 15 November 13
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.59% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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