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Wednesday, 25 December 13
SHIPPING : AS FAR AS THIS CYCLE IS CONCERNED, 'WE HAVE SEEN THE WORST....!' - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In a week’s time the year comes to an end. Having been a speaker in two seminars over the past 5 days I was able to see the year ending trends and some very interesting points and findings that stood out which I would like to share with you. In the first half of 2013 the Dry Cargo freight markets, found Capes earning much less than all other dry bulk size segments. This was rectified after June and today the rates are currently more or less back in line with the respective carrying capacity and we hope that the momentum will feed through to 2014.
On the SnP front, activity was superb. We had more than 1,500 deals concluded so far in the year. The total USD outlay, from sales of which details are disclosed, is slightly more than $ 21bn. The respective figures for 2012 are 1,200 deals and $14bn outlay. Compared to 2012, S&P activity on average was up by 26-27% on just about every month. Dry Bulk vessels prices have increased significantly over the past 12 months. The most notable increase was noted in a 5 yr old Panamax that has shot up by more than 50%. Last year, you could buy a 5 yr old Panamax with $ 17-18m. Today with the same money you are just about purchasing a 10 yr old Panamax!!! Rising price didn’t deter investors from acquiring vessels. To the contrary we can say. The fact that conventional financing was practically scarce meant that a very important chunk of SnP deals was mostly financed by “own pockets” and/or alternative sources of finance.
Additionally, trust in the banking system was shaken this year. The fearful and sad scenario of thousands realizing that their bank deposits could suffer a tremendous haircut over-a-weekend, as it happened in Cyprus, made many shipowners and others turn into a what appeared as a much safer investment ; Shipping.
On the Newbuilding sector, we had many new orders, with more than 870 bulkers, 527 Tankers, 161 Gas Carriers and 243 Containers being contracted during this year so far. The majority of these contracts have gone to Chinese builders, whose share of orders this year amounts to more than Korea’s and Japan’s shares added up together. Non-availability of slots has taken off a lot of pressure from major shipbuilders to further reduce their prices and from a point onwards they actually started to charge a premium for earlier slots. However, if we still look back, current newbuilding prices are still on the low side.
Demolition stats show that more than 50m tons of DWT carrying capacity was taken from the world active fleet, compared to more than 60m tons in 2012. Nevertheless, last year was a record year and therefore difficult to match, therefore the fact that this year’s figure stands at these levels is still very significant. India appears to have been the leading demo country in both number of ships and dwt scrapped there, while China comes second in number of ships and 3rd in dwt. Demo prices hold firm, with the average since 2009 standing above $400 per ldt, always supported by the strong demand for steel. It goes without saying that the increased demolition activity we have seen over the past 4 years, tremendously helps alleviate the pressure of new tonnage entering the active fleet.
In general, we consider 2013 to be a year of momentum, with a lot of investment opportunities being “grabbed” by a number of players in the market. We are of the strong belief and share the opinion of many shipping professionals that, as far as this cycle is concerned, “we have seen the worst… !”
Happy New Year to All, full of health, joy, happiness and successful shipping deals!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 13 December 13
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO WITNESS HEALTHY DEMAND MOVING FORWARD - ICS
The Institute of Chartered Shipbrokers Greek Branch organised its 9th Annual Forum at Eugenides Foundation, on Wednesday, 11th of December, with a r ...
Friday, 13 December 13
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 18.4 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL W/E 7 DECEMBER 2013
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.4 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 12 December 13
GREAT EXPECTATIONS SANCTIONED - EVA TZIMA
News that sanctions on Iranian oil exports could be lifted sometime in the following months have shaken the markets recently. One of the world&rsquo ...
Thursday, 12 December 13
DRY BULK MARKET RATES FOR CAPESIZES TO REMAIN VOLATILE SAYS BIMCO
The dry bulk market has reached multi year highs this week, as the BDI is standing at the 2,300-point mark. In its analysis of the market, BIMCO pre ...
Wednesday, 11 December 13
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT IS CONSIDERING SETTING A REGULATION ON THE MINIMUM PURITY TO REGULATE UNPROCESSED ORE BAN
COALspot.com: Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Jero Wacik recently proposed to house those mining (mineral) companies that had shown a commitme ...
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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