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Wednesday, 04 December 13
THE BUYERS' DEMAND IS CONTINUOUSLY BULLISH - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS


The very low rates that prevailed for the bigger part of 2013 seem to have prepared the ground for buying opportunities for shipping investors. The negative sentiment squeezed asset values and the trigger was pulled for those who were waiting patiently for a good time to enter the market.

It was mainly traditional ship owners who moved aggressively by acquiring vessels and by placing new orders especially in the dry sector.  The Panamax size segment has gained the most interest followed by Supramaxes, Handies and during the third quarter of the year from Capesizes as well, which gave us the signal of the forthcoming positive movement of Baltic Dry Index.

In the new building market, within the 1st half of the year, the majority of the bigger Chinese shipbuilders have booked all their available slots with deliveries up until Q4 of 2016. The lack of slots with prompt delivery in the Chinese shipbuilding industry during the 2nd half of 2013 was partly responsible for driving newbuilding prices up by so much.

Indicative is the Ultramax's asking price, which is currently in the region of USD 28 mill with delivery at the end of 2016 and onwards, boosted almost 15% higher than the USD 24 mill price quoted in the 1st quarter of the year. The same was also witnessed in the second hand market where a 10 year old Japanese Panamax vessel would be sold in the region of USD 14 mill and reaching the 4th quarter of 2013 it can be sold in excess of USD 16 mill (an increase of approximately 15% as well).

With the exception of the negative movement of the BDI during the last few weeks, the sentiment still appears to be very positive. The buyers' demand is continuously bullish. The M/V Carol (abt 75.000 dwt / 1999 blt Japan) has been sold at the very firm price of USD 14.3 – 14.2 mill. Most notable though is that this lady has been physically inspected by 17 parties. 

This situation is not unique for the dry bulk market and is taking place across all sectors, as there is similar buying interest for all sizes and once a quality candidate appears, prospective buyers are quickly queuing to inspect. During October/November, the Capesize “Su Oh” (about 171.000 dwt / 1997 blt Japan) and the Supramax vessel “Maple Creek” (about 53.000 dwt / 2005 blt Japan) were inspected by 15 and 10 prospective buyers respectively.

Entering into the final month of the year, we cannot but accept that 2013 was more prosperous than most of us would have expected it to be. The hope that even better days are coming sooner rather than later, after all these years of anticipation further supports those who placed their bets on a market recovery by acquiring a ship within 2013, as they have already enjoyed the positive outcomes either in terms of better charter rates or increase in the value of their asset. 

Nothing is carved in stone yet but I believe that the following months should be very active month in terms of SnP activity.

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations |
research@intermodal.gr

Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis |
g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima |
e.tzima@intermodal.gr

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.



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