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Tuesday, 19 November 13
SHIP OWNER POUR MORE MONEY INTO DRY BULK CARRIER ACQUISITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS


The recent dry bulk market's rally, coupled with an expected fall in oversupply and robust cargo demand has boosted ship owners' optimism on the long term prospects of the market, thus enabling more investments towards new acquisitions. In its latest monthly analysis, shipbroker Golden Destiny noted that second hand bulker purchases during October rose by 40% year-on-year, while in the newbuilding market, activity retreated versus the flurry of ordering during September, but was still higher than the respective month of 2012.

According to the report, "overall, secondhand investments continue to record lower pace of growth compared with newbuildings and demolition activity keeps a downward incline from last year’s levels. Year 2013 is pose to end with the number of new orders surpassing 2,000 for the first time since the end of 2008 and posing a serious high risk on the optimistic expectations for an upturn of the market in the next year “2014”. Bulk carriers and tankers remain in the focus of investors for secondhand purchases with lower purchasing interest for containers. However, October ended with a higher purchasing interest for boxships from last month with focus in the sub-panamax segment", the shipbroker said.

Price-wise, Golden Destiny noted that "secondhand vessel values of bulkers keep increasing from the beginning of the year as charter rates record strong upturn from last year’s weak levels. BDI is now up by 98% year-on-year with the average value of charter rates for capesize vessels, during October, showing a 78% year-on-year increase, 157% year-on-year increase for panamax vessels and 58% year-on-year increase for supramax vessels. According to 5yrs old assessments from the Baltic Exchange, the value of a capesize vessel has shown a 21% increase since the beginning of the year by rising to about $36mil, from about $30mil at the end of October 2012".

It added that "iIn the newbuilding arena, bulkers, tankers, gas tankers and containers still record remarkable upward movements from last year’s ordering activity with the number of newbuilding orders marking new record levels for the first time since the end of 2008. In the bulk carrier segment, shipping players seem to concentrate their interest in the capesize and ultramax segment with Chinese yards winning the largest share of contracts. In the tanker segment, the ordering spree in the MR product segments seems to be endless with South Korean yards holding their leading position in securing of new contracts for such vessel sizes and also for the construction of large LPG or LNG carriers. In the container segment, October marked soft activity in the construction of post panamax boxships of more than 9,000 TEU, but investors have not yet lost their interest for such mega ships".

In total, second vessel purchases across all markets were down 4.7% month-on-month, but   11% up year-on-year, with a total of 144 vessels traded for an invested capital of more than $2 billion, while 23 S&P deals reported at an undisclosed sale price. Similarly, newbuilding orders were down 31% month-on-month and 91% up year-on-year, with 221 vessels contracted for an invested capital of more than $9,1bn, while 82 new orders reported at undisclosed contact price. Demolition activity was down 35% month-on-month and 50% down year-on-year), with 56 vessels sold for disposal of about 2,5mil dwt, 64% year-on-year decline in the number of bulker disposals.

More specifically, in the dry bulk market, newbuilding activity was down 40% month-on-month and 454% up year-on-year, in the number of new orders (72 new orders – 13 new orders October 2012). Chinese yards grasped 61% share of the new orders for bulk carriers in October with strong volume of activity in the handy and ultramax segment (44 new orders won from the total 72 new orders). Overall, capesize newbuilding orders in the frontline as 27 new contracts reported during October from zero contracting business in similar month last year. Handy (30,000-39,000dwt) and ultramax (60,000-67,000dwt) vessel sizes grasp also robust volume of orders, 16 and 13 respectively from 8 new orders placed for handy vessels in October 2012 and zero business for ultramaxes.

Dry bulk secondhand activity was 12% down month-on-month and 40% up year-on-year, in the number of secondhand vessel purchases (60 vessel purchases – 43 vessel purchases October 2012.). Finally, demolition was 38% down month-on-month and 64% down year-on-year in the number of demolitions 20 vessel demolitions – 56 vessel demolitions October 2012). Strong activity in the handy-handymax segment with only one reported vessel disposal in the panamax vessel size and no recorded scrapping activity for capesize units.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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