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Friday, 15 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LINGERING ON, DESPITE PREDICTIONS OF NEW IMMINENT RALLY PRIOR TO THE YEAR'S END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn't yet managed to stage a new comeback after its retreat from the recent multiyear highs. Yesterday, the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was down by 14 points to 1,517. Capesizes and Panamaxes led the losses, with the Baltic Capesize Index losing 58 points, while its Panamax counterpart was down by36 points on the day. Supramaxes on the other hand, have maintained their upward momentum, rising by another 14 points to reach 1,339 in total.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnleys noted on the Capesize market, that "there are no signs of the rally which is still expected to happen before Christmas, however rates are rather keeping steady. Out of Brazil it appears Vale is picking ships quietly for Tubarao/Qingdao, where present level is mid 21s pmt. In the Pacific there has been a good number of west Australia fixtures however levels are still around USD 9.00 pmt. There is also a steady amount of East coast Australia cargoes, but not affecting rates in any positive direction. Demand for period ships is generally healthy, but with the mentioned expected rally owners are holding back".
On the Panamax market, Fearnleys commented that "this week started with a cold shower on the north Continent when suddenly ships fixed USD 12k for quick rounds down USD 3k from last Friday. We see quite a bit of fresh requirements, but a long list of open ships makes sure that the market is still sliding down. For longer duration business in the Atlantic ships can still get around USD 14k. The fronthaul market is sliding together with the rest of the market, but some players argue that the USG grain market will come back again before Christmas considering the record harvest season in the USA. Now ships fix around USD 18+800k for trip via USG to China. The Pacific has kept on falling during this week. Now ships in north China get around 10k for round trips, with several fixtures already fixed at four digit numbers as well. Not that many long period fixtures reported, but market should be around USD 11500 for 1 year".
Finally, on the Handy front, Fearnleys said that "the Atlantic market has picked up this week with prompt ships able USG for November dates coming off and chrts need to pay up in order to cover their stems. Fhauls bss Cont-Med delivery are also seeing increased rates and we expect the Atlantic to continue its firming tendency into next week.After last week´s rate increase in the Feast we are now seeing the activity coming off. Owners with ships open in South China rating USD 13k for trips via Indonesia to India and chrts now looking to plan ahead and take in ships from North China in order to get the discounted rate. The better paying nickel ore rounds are being fixed in the mid-teens and the period market is picking up pace. Some owners would like to cover their positions over New Years and now starting to look for takers".
In its third quarter results report, owner of dry bulk carriers Knightsbrige (which also owns several VLCC tankers), said that the bulk market surprised forecasters during the third quarter. Cape spot earnings peaked at $42,200 per day on September 25 and the average spot earnings for the quarter was $19,000 per day. Under normal circumstances dry bulk analysts have a fairly common view of the utilization of the dry bulk fleet, but the spread between the estimates has been wider than normal. Cape earnings during the third quarter should indicate a utilization of 82 to 84 percent based on historical data for that segment.
After iron ore inventory draw downs for several months during the first half of 2013, imports in the third quarter resulted in slightly higher stockpiles in major Chinese iron ore ports. A massive 217 million metric tones (mt) of iron ore was imported during the third quarter. This compares with 185 million mt in the same quarter last year, which represents an increase of 17 percent. Coal imports to China reached 70 million mt in the third quarter this year compared to 52.4 million mt in the same quarter last year.
"Vessel values have reacted positively to the improved spot and longer term time charter markets. A Cape resale has over the year moved from $44 million to $52 million (concluded last month) and a 5 year old Cape has been sold at $40 million compared to $34 million a few months ago. In October, Korean yards are said to have concluded newbuilding orders for their outline specifications for delivery 2015/16 at $55 million. Values for smaller vessels have improved as well, but gains are more modest.
One important part of dry bulk fleet utilization is speed and consumption optimization. Since March 2011, bunker prices have been on or above approximately $600/mt. It took some time, however, before owners started to slow steam on a broader scale. With a bunker price of $600/mt the optimal speed in a $30,000 per day market is considered to be 12.5 knots for a Cape size (basis average laden and ballast). During the third quarter, some owners started to increase speed when the market picked up, but quickly reduced speed when the market softened a few weeks later. The third quarter of 2013 was maybe the first and most active quarter when it came to pro active speed and consumption optimization. It is important to bear in mind that the total fleet has never sailed faster than 13.7 knots on average since 2007, so the impact should not be over exaggerated but it might contribute to a floor and ceiling in freight rates in the medium term" the company concluded in its report on the market.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 01 December 13
PANAMAX RATES HAVE REBOUNDED - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was quite firm last week with all the indices increased. Cape Index was gained highest this week which supports inc ...
Saturday, 30 November 13
NTPC STARTED IMPORTING COAL THROUGH NW1 FOR ITS FARAKKA POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: In a pioneering and path breaking operation, the very first consignment of about 69,060 metric tons of imported coal bought by MV HUAY ...
Friday, 29 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET BACK ON HIGHER GROUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is strengthening as a result of higher demand for Capesize vessels. The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up by 146 points yesterday, e ...
Wednesday, 27 November 13
DRY SEGMENTS EXCEPTION OF PANAMAXES, REMAINED OVERALL STABLE - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com : The Dry Bulk market closed off the week in the red, albeit the decrease noted was of short scale. With the exception of Panamaxes, th ...
Wednesday, 27 November 13
US WHEAT IMPORTS TO BRAZIL, REACHED A 35 - YEAR HIGH - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: As I am going through a number of dry market fixtures reported since the beginning of October, my eyes instinctively stop where they d ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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