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Thursday, 31 October 13
HANDY: ACTIVE; PANAMAX: QUIET; CAPESIZE: NO LIGHT


Handy
The handy market had an active week however not directly translated into the rates we´ve seen in the Pacific. We see more coal and bauxite cargoes in the market and owners with ships open in EC India or North China are seeing rates in the low teens for same. For the shorter Indo rounds charterers have to pay up due to a tight tonnage list and facing levels around Usd 16k for either India or China direction. In the Atlantic the market we have seen more activity and firmer rates, especially in the USG. The list of prompt ships able early/mid Nov cancelling is scarse and we expect the rates to continue the firming tendency, at least for the shorter term.

Panamax
It has been a somewhat quiet week so far and rates have been decreasing in both hemispheres. In the Atlantic we have seen rates dropping continuously as there is a lack of fresh cargoes and the tonnage list is again growing. The Cape market has also had a direct impact on pmax rates with stems being split into pmax stems, but the recent dramatic rate decline for Capes influences the Pmax market with no benefit from these additional cargoes. The Ta´s are now paying in the region of Usd 16k and Front hauls bss USG loading in region of Usd 18k + 800k bb. Pacific rounds which are also declining are now being fixed in the 13-15k level depending on delivery. Period market has come down on lack of takers and the FFA market is not giving the same support.

Capesize
No light at the end of the tunnel for shell shocked owners, and those who have over played their hand during the last rally find the escape door to be a very narrow one. Rate levels have been in free fall - notably on considerable volume - all through the week. Actual daily returns for pacific rounds are presently no more than usd 10k/day, with value down close to 50% w-o-w. Atlantic is equally hard hit, down 40% and coming in at some usd 16k/day. A number of N/B´s are still set to enter market prior year-end, and same has to be factored in by players making their forecasts for the weeks and months to come. Period activity is for natural physical reasons next to nothing, and FFA´s are presently too nervous and without direction to give support going forward.

Source: Fearnleys AS



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