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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
 China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Thursday, 03 October 13
INDONESIA AUGUST COAL EXPORTS FALL 12.90 % FROM JULY TO 30.71 MIL MT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy in world, 4th largest coal producer in world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
TOP FOUR U.S. COAL COMPANIES SUPPLIED MORE THAN HALF OF U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2011 - EIA
In the past two years, more than half of U.S. coal production was attributable to the top four coal producers, the result of changes in regional pro ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
HANDY: PERIOD MARKET STAND IN GOOD POSITION - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Nickel ore and Bauxite was active last week but slowed down now due to Chinese holidays. Ships opened in North China fixed at US$ 11-13k leve ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL MAINTAINING ITS UPWARD DIRECTION
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Firm+)
Despite the fact that rates for Capes didn't continue their crazy ride this past week, the Dry Bulk market ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
HOW LONG WILL THIS LATEST CAPESIZE RALLY LAST? - TASOS PAPADOPOULOS
By Tasos Papadopoulos, SnP Broker, Intermodal
The surge in iron ore trade has translated into a massive boost in daily earnings for capes; with t ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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