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Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the single largest consumer of base metals. According to Wood Mackenzie’s latest base metals demand forecasts, China will account for 52% of base metals demand by 2017, compared with 46% of the 96 million tonnes (Mt) global base metals market in 2013. While China’s lower GDP targets are reflected in lower demand growth for base metals on a percentage basis over the next five years versus the last half decade, the research firm says that China will maintain its dominance and the outlook for Chinese base metals demand is slower not lower.
Helen Matthews, Head of Base Metals Markets research for Wood Mackenzie says; “Our forecasts for the next five years show that across all of the base metals – aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc – growth in demand will come predominately from China. Demand growth has slowed from the double digits we saw from 2008 to 2013 to single digits - ranging from five to eight percent – however, it’s important to note that in absolute tonnage terms we still see significant numbers.”
Wood Mackenzie says that the global base metals market is set to grow from 96Mt in 2013 to 122 Mt in 2018, with a huge shift set to occur in 2017; “Today, the Rest of the World, excluding China, accounts for 54% of the global base metals market however, as we’re seeing with many other commodities, China’s rampant appetite will overtake the rest of the World, growing to 52% of demand in a 117Mt market.”
Wood Mackenzie’s economic analysis points to the drivers behind this growth as Jonathan Butcher, Senior Economist for Wood Mackenzie explains; “While there are a number of factors behind growth in demand for each base metal, a key theme for China is continued urbanisation and rising domestic wealth. Wood Mackenzie’s proprietary China Activity Index tracks a number of factors, and gives us confidence that economic growth will remain strong in the short term. Looking out to 2030, we see a bright future for Chinese commodity demand. Urbanisation rates will reach 70%, compared to just under half of the population in 2013. This will have a widespread impact on the economy over the next 20 years, with electricity consumption per capita forecast to reach the same level as Korea today.”
Matthews adds; “Our analysis shows that the outlook for key demand drivers is positive, with a firm emphasis on Asia.”
Editor’s notes:
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world’s energy and metals industries. We analyse and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. For more information visit: www.woodmac.com
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Thursday, 09 November 23
GREEK AND CHINESE COMPANIES OWN 34% OF THE GLOBAL FLEET’S CARGO CAPACITY - BIMCO
“The global fleet of cargo carrying ships consists of around 61,000 ships with a deadweight capacity of about 2,200 million tonnes. The ships ...
Monday, 23 October 23
CHINA SEPT COAL OUTPUT HITS SIX-MONTH HIGH ON RISING POWER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s September coal output rose 0.4% from August to the highest level since March, official data showed on Wednesday, on rising power dema ...
Monday, 23 October 23
INDIA COAL INVENTORIES DROP AT FASTEST PACE IN TWO YEARS, BOOSTING IMPORTS - REUTERS
Coal inventories at Indian power plants in the first half of October fell at their fastest rate in two years, an analysis of government data showed ...
Tuesday, 19 September 23
LNG SHIPPING STOCKS: THE ASIAN GROWTH UP-INDICES
Last week, the UP World LNG Shipping Index (UPI) gained 3.81 points or 2.51%, closing at 155.85 points. This index tracks the performance of LNG sh ...
Sunday, 10 September 23
GOLDMAN SACHS PREDICTS OIL PRICE TO HIT $100 ON OPEC CUTS - YAHOO FINANCE
Oil supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia could lead to Brent crude jumping as high as $107 a barrel in 2024, Goldman Sachs Commodities Research h ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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