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Tuesday, 15 October 13
CHINA COAL IMPORTS TO KEEP GROWING IN THE YEARS TO COME, ALBEIT AT A SLOWER RATE - EVA TZIMA / NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest monthly report, shipbroker Intermodal highlighted the growing role of coal in the energy mix. According to Intermodal's research analyst, Eva Tzima, "since the beginning of 2013, there has been a lot of debate as for what the future might hold for the trade of coal. The majority of coal production is used to fuel coal-fired power plants in the form also known as thermal coal. Coal, which is today the source that feeds almost 40% of global electricity requirements, has been the fastest growing energy source since the beginning of the 21st century, ac-cording to the International Energy Agency. It’s been mainly on the back of developing economies, like those of China and India that the traded volume of the commodity has witnessed a rapid increase. With China being globally the biggest producer and consumer of thermal coal, the demand for the latter has been inextricably linked with that of economic growth in the world’s second largest econo-my. As the rate of Chinese economic growth has been slowing down, so has the rate of coal consumption, while at the same time, due to its non green nature, the popularity of coal as an energy source has been gathering less and less supporters worldwide", she noted.
Tzima added that "despite the fact that China has been sitting on trillions of tonnes of reserves and therefore local appetite for coal has been historically satisfied onshore, as of the end of 2008 the country’s coal imports have started to increase at a very fast pace. The big beneficiary of this trend was no other than the dry bulkers, as the majority of those imports is realized by seaborne trade. Last year alone the an-nual increase of imported amounts of coal into China touched al-most 60% compared to those of 2011. As we head into the final quarter of 2013 it seems that an even higher figure of imports will be printed, proving that the trend is still strong. A little less than one third of Chinese coal imports is currently being satisfied by Indonesian reserves, while other Pacific region countries like Australia and Vietnam also account for substantial portions".
According to Intermodal's analyst, "the question that naturally comes to mind is why turning to offshore supplies for coal when the commodity is plentiful right there in your court? The answer is simple; Price. The cost of producing and transporting coal domestically has been higher than importing it. But as the country’s imports have continued to rise and its economy has gone into a slower gear, Chinese stockpiles have also increased significantly, fact which in its turn has put significant pressure on local prices. Since January alone, coal prices in China have softened more than 15%. As local prices have been softening a lot of reports have surfaced warning about possible pressure on coal imports going forward. On top of that, the Chinese government, in its effort to pursue more environmental friendly policies, could also weigh down on the future quantity of coal cargoes imported. The energy targets initially set forth by the government, as part of its overall pollution control plan, included both a ceiling on the imported volume and use, as well as a floor on the quality of coal consumed in the coun-try, adding further to the negative sentiment around coal usage altogether", Tzima noted.
"So, will the trade of coal start burning low in the Pacific region? I would think that most probably not. On the one hand the infrastructure modernization needed, should the government keep pushing for lower emissions of CO2, will add on to the cost of Chinese pro-duction. This will be reflected on the price of locally produced coal, restricting the gap between domestic and international prices to narrow down to a point where imports would no longer make economic sense. On top of that, while local coal prices have been softening, the same has happened to coal prices globally and even at a higher degree, so the price incentive for Chinese demand to dis-tant itself from imports doesn’t appear to be there. At the same time what originally started as a very solid plan to cap imported quantities has slowly been revised to a less strict policy, which doesn’t seem as hurtful for imports as it was in its initial form. This revision shows that cheaper energy sources are likely to hold centre stage, as it seems quite possible that the Chinese government would chose to partly sacrifice its “Green” targets for its “Growth” targets. In fact while it has pledged to reduce the country’s coal usage to 65% of its total energy mix, a 2% reduction from what it is today, it hasn’t set a specific amount of coal consumption. This means that under the current plan, the Chinese will still allow for growth in coal consumption should the country’s energy needs continue to rise. But will they do? In my view the fact that the Chinese government has compromised with slower economic growth targets for a longer period of time, in order to ensure the sustainability of that growth, in itself is supportive of firm on-going energy consumption within the country. Following the path of slower but more sustainable growth, energy consumption should be maintained at its current growth levels rather than exhaust itself in the medium term follow-ing strong but short-lived periods of overconsumption.
So despite the fact that King Coal might be facing some opposition, it seems that the Chinese will continue to be supportive of both imports and consumption of the commodity. And unless dramatic action is taken by their government, imports should keep increasing in the next years. This will almost certainly be an increase at a slower rate, but an increase nevertheless, as cheaper options of the commodity will be still made available through seaborne trade in the Asia-Pacific region, allowing for coal to keep burning hotter for a longer period than what some might chose to think...", Tzima concluded
Research Analyst - Eva Tzima
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
...
Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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