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Monday, 16 September 13
WHAT RECOVERY MEANS FOR THE CAPESIZE MARKET - COMMODORE RESEARCH
 COALspot.com: The simple fact that capesize rates have been able to increase above the $9,000/mark and become much more responsive to changes in cargo volume is a very clear sign that the capesize market is in recovery.
Capesize rates will continue to wax and wane, though, and "recovery" does not mean rates will now simply go up. But it does mean that rates now are able to rise on the strength of robust cargoes, which is very significant as during the first three quarters of last year this was certainly not the case.
During most of the first three quarters of 2012, capesize rates were unable to escape the $3,000 and $9,000 cycle, with fluctuations largely driven by owners idling available Capes when rates approached roughly the $3,000/day level and returning vessels when rates approached approximately $9,000/day.
During this time, Cape rates were not as much fluctuating due to changes in cargo volume. as they were due to owners changing the spot availability of capesize vessels. Today, the capsize market is surely in recovery and rates are now sensitive to changes in cargo volume again.
This is why rates have surged recently during the current period of Chinese iron ore re-stocking. Capesize fleet growth has remained low for many months and has ushered in a period of recovery for the capesize market. Capesize rates being able to surge on robust iron ore cargoes is recovery.
This has only been able to occur due to many months of capesize fleet growth staying low.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports.
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Sunday, 04 August 13
COAL SWAP MARKET HAS LOST DIRECTION; STRUGGLING TO CATCH UP
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average October 2013 delivery slightly down on day, week and month on Friday, 2 A ...
Sunday, 04 August 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT SOFT DUE TO HOLIDAYS IN INDONESIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com : The freight market was fairly steady this week with the BDI recovering towards north since second half of the week with the support o ...
Friday, 02 August 13
DRY BULK MARKET STABILIZES ON RENEWED MARKET ACTIVITY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept its positive footing this week, although it's still a far cry to deem the market situation as a growing one, especiall ...
Friday, 02 August 13
ASIA ACCOUNTS FOR 27.95 PERCENT OF US COAL EXPORTS IN Q1, 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.80 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 01 August 13
CAPESIZE: THE FLOW OF CARGOES REMAINS RELATIVELY STABLE, AND THE PACIFIC IS LOOKING PROMISING - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Pacific market is still facing low activity, so no wonder that the tonnage list is getting longer. It´s still Ramadan and only a fe ...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- PTC India Limited - India
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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