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Monday, 16 September 13
WHAT RECOVERY MEANS FOR THE CAPESIZE MARKET - COMMODORE RESEARCH
COALspot.com: The simple fact that capesize rates have been able to increase above the $9,000/mark and become much more responsive to changes in cargo volume is a very clear sign that the capesize market is in recovery.
Capesize rates will continue to wax and wane, though, and "recovery" does not mean rates will now simply go up. But it does mean that rates now are able to rise on the strength of robust cargoes, which is very significant as during the first three quarters of last year this was certainly not the case.
During most of the first three quarters of 2012, capesize rates were unable to escape the $3,000 and $9,000 cycle, with fluctuations largely driven by owners idling available Capes when rates approached roughly the $3,000/day level and returning vessels when rates approached approximately $9,000/day.
During this time, Cape rates were not as much fluctuating due to changes in cargo volume. as they were due to owners changing the spot availability of capesize vessels. Today, the capsize market is surely in recovery and rates are now sensitive to changes in cargo volume again.
This is why rates have surged recently during the current period of Chinese iron ore re-stocking. Capesize fleet growth has remained low for many months and has ushered in a period of recovery for the capesize market. Capesize rates being able to surge on robust iron ore cargoes is recovery.
This has only been able to occur due to many months of capesize fleet growth staying low.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports.
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Friday, 04 October 13
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.1% WEEK ON WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 19.70 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
INDONESIA AUGUST COAL EXPORTS FALL 12.90 % FROM JULY TO 30.71 MIL MT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy in world, 4th largest coal producer in world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
TOP FOUR U.S. COAL COMPANIES SUPPLIED MORE THAN HALF OF U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2011 - EIA
In the past two years, more than half of U.S. coal production was attributable to the top four coal producers, the result of changes in regional pro ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
HANDY: PERIOD MARKET STAND IN GOOD POSITION - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Nickel ore and Bauxite was active last week but slowed down now due to Chinese holidays. Ships opened in North China fixed at US$ 11-13k leve ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL MAINTAINING ITS UPWARD DIRECTION
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Firm+)
Despite the fact that rates for Capes didn't continue their crazy ride this past week, the Dry Bulk market ...
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