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Tuesday, 10 September 13
WORLDWIDE COAL CONSUMPTION RISES SHARPLY - RA DR. ERICH SCHMITZ
By: RA Dr. Erich Schmitz, Verein der Kohlenimporteure (Germany Coal Importers Association)
World hard coal market in the first half of 2013: worldwide production and world trade stagnating, imports to Europe and Germany rise in HY1 2013 despite the massive expansion in renewable energies.
Energy consumption worldwide increases only slightly – in contrast, coal consumption rises sharply.
According to initial calculations by BP in the Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2013, world energy consumption in 2012 experienced a below-average rise of 358m TCE to 17.8bn TCE (about 2%) in comparison with 2011; initial estimates of the World Energy Council for 2012 show a rise of 420m TCE (2.20%) to 19.1bn TCE, taking renewable energies into account. This modest growth is a consequence of the global economic stagnation which has had an impact on the OECD region above all.
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The Asian-Pacific region, where the increase was 4.70%, continues to be a region of growth in primary energy. Worldwide oil consumption of 4,130m tonnes rose only slightly (+1.20%). For the fifth year in succession, the EU 27 countries and the USA reduced their consumption of primary energy, by just under 1% and 2.50%, respectively. Russia ’s energy consumption , on the other hand, remained virtually unchanged.
The rise in the world consumption of primary energy is largely a consequence of the increase in hard coal consumption by about 3.30% and in gas consumption by 2.40% related to the shale gas boom in the USA. In view of the slower economic growth in China, India and other South-east Asian countries and a recession in many OECD countries, the VDKi expects stagnation in primary energy consumption and consequently in coal consumption as well for 2013.
China especially will play a key role here because this country accounts for more than 50% of worldwide coal consumption and worldwide coal production. According to data from the national coal association in China, the consumption of steam and coking coal in HY1 2013 in China amounted to 1.93bn tonnes, corresponding to an increase of only 1% in comparison with 2012, but 7.60% less than during the comparable period of 2011.
On the other hand, production of 1.79bn tonnes during the first six months represented a decline by 3.7% in comparison with HY1 2012. Presumably the high inventories, which according to newspaper reports still amounted in all of China to about 300m tonnes at the end of June, have been reduced.
Seaborne hard coal trade (steam coal only) continues at the level of the previous year (410m tonnes) according to calculations of the VDKi. However, there have been shifts among the exporting nations: Indonesia (+26m tonnes) and Australia (over +10m tonnes) have increased their exports while Colombia (-5m tonnes owing to strikes and logistic restrictions at the beginning of the year), South Africa (almost -3m tonnes) and Russia (-1m tonnes) have exported less steam coal.
The background for the rise in exports from Indonesia and Australia could be China’s announcement that it will in the future prohibit the import of hard coal of lower quality (calorific values, sulphur or ash content) from Indonesia and Australia in particular. This may have led to early deliveries in fulfillment of contractual purchase obligations in existing contracts. According to data from IHS McCloskey Coal Report, China imported about 15m tonnes more coal (hard coal and lignite) during HY1 than in 2012.
Europe and Germany
A slight, but steady, increase in coal consumption in the European Union, especially in the United Kingdom, France and Spain, has been observed in the last two years. Declining hard coal output in Germany, Spain and Poland is being compensated by increased imports.
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The long winter in Europe and the favorable clean dark spread (costs for coal, freight and CO2 certificates), which has been lower in comparison with the clean spark spread (costs for gas, transport and CO2 certificates) for some time, encourage coal-fired power generation in Europe. The electricity is frequently exported to countries strongly dependent on gas such as the United Kingdom or Holland.
According to a report on the European electricity market in Q2 2013 from the EU Commission, the electricity prices for the base load in Q2 fell significantly (weighted for volume , from € 46/MW h in March 2013 to €30/MW h in June 2013 ).
Since coal prices continued to fall as well and the CO2 prices remained low, this meant, according to data from the DG Energy of the EU Commission, that the share of solid fuels for power generation exceeded 50%, which is a higher figure than that of 2012 (45 %). However, the clean dark spread decline d to €4 /MW h; in the two previous quarters, it had still been in the two-digit range. All of this took place against the backdrop of the rising share of renewable energies; production from these sources was high in Q2 and, according to data from the EU, led for instance to negative power prices below -€100 /MW h in Germany and Belgium an d be low -€ 200 /MW h in France on 16 June of this year.
Power generation from gas-fired power plants consequently declined sharply as well because the high gas prices make it unprofitable. EU data show that the clean spark spread fell to below -€19.50 /MW h.
Hard coal imports to Germany rose by 3.4m tonnes (15%) to 25.7m tonnes in the first six months. Extrapolated for all of 2013, this would mean that for the first time since 1957 more than 50m tonnes of hard coal would be imported to Germany. The managing director of the Coal Importer Association, Dr Erich Schmitz, commented on this development: “Of course we would be absolutely delighted by such a high volume of coal imports. However, we must not allow ourselves to be misled about two essential points:
1. The decline in German hard coal mining is making itself felt more and more strongly because it is being compensated by increased imports.
2. If the low electricity wholesale prices resulting from the non-competitive inclusion of the priority feed-in of renewable energies, especially from solar parks, continue, they will constitute a massive threat to the economic existence of hard coal-fired power plants. They can no longer market their electricity profitably on the German market at these prices and profit solely from the export of electricity to countries dominated by power generation from gas-fire d power plants."
This has led the VDKi to affirm its call for a fundamental reform of the compensation for power from renewable sources and for a capacity market for new and existing power plants of all kinds, oriented to a free market and non-discriminatory, immediately after the national election in Germany.
“Otherwise, ” notes Schmitz, “there will be a flood of notifications of shut-downs of older coal- and gas-fired power plants to the Federal Network Agency which could result in a substantial risk for the security of power supply in Germany in 1 to 2 years.”
-Power generation from hard coal-fired power plants in Germany rose by an estimated 5 TWh to about 65 TWh.
-According to data from the AGEB, hard coal consumption for power generation rose by 8.5% to 21.8 million TCE.
-According to data from the AGEB, gross power export rose by 8.4% in comparison with the same period of the previous year to 35.96 TWh; less imports, there is still an export surplus of 15.4 TWh, generated primarily in hard coal-fired power plants.
Source: Verein der Kohlenimporteure (Germany Coal Importers Association)
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Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL IMPORTS TO INDIA IN OCTOBER 2023 REACHED HIGHEST LEVELS IN NEARLY A YEAR AND A HALF - VESSELSVALUE, VESON NAUTICAL
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Friday, 24 November 23
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Friday, 24 November 23
INTELLIGENT COAL MINES CONTRIBUTE TO IMPROVING SAFETY STANDARDS - CHINA DAILY
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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