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Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
 COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore Research & Consultancy said in its latest report.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles have now fallen to their lowest level since May and are 26.6 million tons (-27%) lower than where they stood a year ago. The historically low level of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports is very encouraging, and has been a contributing factor behind the strength in demand for imported iron ore cargoes and recent surge in cape size freight rates, said Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Commodore Research & Consultancy further said in its research report, 23 cape size vessels were chartered to haul iron ore in the spot market last week (all of the vessels were chartered to deliver iron ore to Chinese buyers). The last seven weeks have seen an average of 22.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore, with each week seeing at least 20 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore. Prior to the last seven weeks, this year had seen an average of only 15.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore.
The consistently large amount of cape size vessels being chartered to haul iron ore cargoes (predominantly to Chinese buyers), combined with cape size fleet growth remaining relatively low, has caused spot cape size availability to become much tighter as we have predicted. This tightness helped cape size rates find significant support on Wednesday and Thursday. Going forward, we continue to believe that there will be brief periods where spot availability of cape size vessels will be very tight and will lead to short-term spikes in Cape rates that will exceed $1,000 per day. Much lower cape size fleet growth this year has now allowed the market to re-enter a phase where cape size rates are much more sensitive to changes in cargo volume and spot demand for available cape size vessels, Commodore Research & Consultancy said.
Commodore Research & Consultancy forecasts, rates, of course, will continue to decrease at times, but overall prospects for cape size rates are encouraging.
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Wednesday, 02 October 13
HOW LONG WILL THIS LATEST CAPESIZE RALLY LAST? - TASOS PAPADOPOULOS
By Tasos Papadopoulos, SnP Broker, Intermodal
The surge in iron ore trade has translated into a massive boost in daily earnings for capes; with t ...
Tuesday, 01 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET POISED FOR RETREAT ON CHINA HOLIDAY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The start of a national weeklong in China as of Tuesday is expected to put a lid in the latest rally of the dry bulk freight market, as has always b ...
Monday, 30 September 13
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME CONTINUES TO SLIP
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port fell 8.38 per cent week on week to 2.67 million mt fo ...
Monday, 30 September 13
PANAMAX CHARTER RATES TOUCHING US$ 18K FOR A TRIP TO NOPAC - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The freight market continued to remain firm, BDI and the Panamax index up week ended 27 September 2013.
The cape index was fell to ...
Sunday, 29 September 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL Q3 2014 DELIVERY SWAP GAINED $1.19 M-O-M
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
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