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Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
 COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore Research & Consultancy said in its latest report.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles have now fallen to their lowest level since May and are 26.6 million tons (-27%) lower than where they stood a year ago. The historically low level of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports is very encouraging, and has been a contributing factor behind the strength in demand for imported iron ore cargoes and recent surge in cape size freight rates, said Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Commodore Research & Consultancy further said in its research report, 23 cape size vessels were chartered to haul iron ore in the spot market last week (all of the vessels were chartered to deliver iron ore to Chinese buyers). The last seven weeks have seen an average of 22.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore, with each week seeing at least 20 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore. Prior to the last seven weeks, this year had seen an average of only 15.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore.
The consistently large amount of cape size vessels being chartered to haul iron ore cargoes (predominantly to Chinese buyers), combined with cape size fleet growth remaining relatively low, has caused spot cape size availability to become much tighter as we have predicted. This tightness helped cape size rates find significant support on Wednesday and Thursday. Going forward, we continue to believe that there will be brief periods where spot availability of cape size vessels will be very tight and will lead to short-term spikes in Cape rates that will exceed $1,000 per day. Much lower cape size fleet growth this year has now allowed the market to re-enter a phase where cape size rates are much more sensitive to changes in cargo volume and spot demand for available cape size vessels, Commodore Research & Consultancy said.
Commodore Research & Consultancy forecasts, rates, of course, will continue to decrease at times, but overall prospects for cape size rates are encouraging.
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Sunday, 13 October 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL - AVERAGE Q4 2013 DELIVERY FELL 0.30 PERCEPT ON WEEK
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.30 percept week on week on Friday 11 October 2013. The CFR South ...
Saturday, 12 October 13
PANAMAX: OWNERS ARE AT US$ 17-18.5K PER DAY; CHARTERERS ARE AT US$ 15.5-16K - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The futures market was heavily down on the cape size vessels and the physical average charterer rates on cape size vessels dropped by ...
Friday, 11 October 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATE POSITIVE MOMENTUM TO BE SUPPORTED BY HIGHER DEMAND SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
BIMCO released its latest short term research on the shipping markets, estimating that the elevated level of Capesize TC average rates i ...
Friday, 11 October 13
US COAL PRODUCTION FALLS 7.70% IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 17.70 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 10 October 13
NPC AUSTRALIA SHIPPED 2.99 MILLION TONS OF COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 12.04 per cent week on week to 2.99 million mt for ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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