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Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore Research & Consultancy said in its latest report.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles have now fallen to their lowest level since May and are 26.6 million tons (-27%) lower than where they stood a year ago. The historically low level of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports is very encouraging, and has been a contributing factor behind the strength in demand for imported iron ore cargoes and recent surge in cape size freight rates, said Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Commodore Research & Consultancy further said in its research report, 23 cape size vessels were chartered to haul iron ore in the spot market last week (all of the vessels were chartered to deliver iron ore to Chinese buyers). The last seven weeks have seen an average of 22.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore, with each week seeing at least 20 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore. Prior to the last seven weeks, this year had seen an average of only 15.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore.
The consistently large amount of cape size vessels being chartered to haul iron ore cargoes (predominantly to Chinese buyers), combined with cape size fleet growth remaining relatively low, has caused spot cape size availability to become much tighter as we have predicted. This tightness helped cape size rates find significant support on Wednesday and Thursday. Going forward, we continue to believe that there will be brief periods where spot availability of cape size vessels will be very tight and will lead to short-term spikes in Cape rates that will exceed $1,000 per day. Much lower cape size fleet growth this year has now allowed the market to re-enter a phase where cape size rates are much more sensitive to changes in cargo volume and spot demand for available cape size vessels, Commodore Research & Consultancy said.
Commodore Research & Consultancy forecasts, rates, of course, will continue to decrease at times, but overall prospects for cape size rates are encouraging.
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Monday, 31 March 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 14 DELIVERY LOST 1.17% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 1.17 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.38 per m ...
Sunday, 30 March 14
FREIGHTS FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market dropped drastically and all sectors were affected severely.
The BDI was down by 14.13 pct and closed at 1, ...
Friday, 28 March 14
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 18.9 MMST IN A WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Friday, 28 March 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL MEASURES WILL NOT CURB GROWTH IN DOMESTIC STEEL PRODUCTION AND SEABORNE IRON ORE - WOOD MACKENZIE SAYS
Steel plants in China have been targeted as a major source of the toxic smog enveloping Beijing and Shanghai. Emergency measures have been impos ...
Thursday, 27 March 14
PANAMAX : SEEMS TO HEAD FURTHER DOWN; CAPESIZE : ANOTHER CHOPPY AND UNPREDICTABLE WEEK - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
A weaker sentiment for the smaller size as well, with reduced activity in the Atlantic where Owners have to face significantly lower ret ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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- MS Steel International - UAE
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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