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Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
 COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore Research & Consultancy said in its latest report.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles have now fallen to their lowest level since May and are 26.6 million tons (-27%) lower than where they stood a year ago. The historically low level of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports is very encouraging, and has been a contributing factor behind the strength in demand for imported iron ore cargoes and recent surge in cape size freight rates, said Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Commodore Research & Consultancy further said in its research report, 23 cape size vessels were chartered to haul iron ore in the spot market last week (all of the vessels were chartered to deliver iron ore to Chinese buyers). The last seven weeks have seen an average of 22.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore, with each week seeing at least 20 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore. Prior to the last seven weeks, this year had seen an average of only 15.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore.
The consistently large amount of cape size vessels being chartered to haul iron ore cargoes (predominantly to Chinese buyers), combined with cape size fleet growth remaining relatively low, has caused spot cape size availability to become much tighter as we have predicted. This tightness helped cape size rates find significant support on Wednesday and Thursday. Going forward, we continue to believe that there will be brief periods where spot availability of cape size vessels will be very tight and will lead to short-term spikes in Cape rates that will exceed $1,000 per day. Much lower cape size fleet growth this year has now allowed the market to re-enter a phase where cape size rates are much more sensitive to changes in cargo volume and spot demand for available cape size vessels, Commodore Research & Consultancy said.
Commodore Research & Consultancy forecasts, rates, of course, will continue to decrease at times, but overall prospects for cape size rates are encouraging.
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Wednesday, 23 July 14
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
In Australia, the world’s largest mining group, BHP Billiton, will beat the iron ore export target of more than 220 million tonnes for 2014. ...
Wednesday, 23 July 14
HARD COAL 2013: THE WORLD'S SECOND-MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE AND GUARANTOR FOR THE SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING TIMES OF CRISIS
Hard coal is again in 2013 the fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in the world. As shown in the BP Statistical Review 2014, it covered ab ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
INDONESIAN ELECTION RESULT ENCOURAGING FOR FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN ENERGY AND MINING SECTORS - WOOD MACKENZIE
Joko Widodo-Jusuf Kalla has been announced as the official winner of Indonesia's presidential election. Joko Widodo, or Jokowi, is viewed as a ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
THE CURRENT COAL PRICES ARE UNPROFITABLE FOR MINERS; COAL PRICES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE - FITCH
COALspot.com: The Fitch Ratings expect the benchmark Newcastle coal prices (currently at about USD70/MT) to gradually increase.
Fitch's la ...
Tuesday, 22 July 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q3' 14 DOWN 5.21%; Q4' 14 DOWN 3.56%; Q1' 15 DOWN 4.75% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 flat on day, weak week on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap' ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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