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Wednesday, 08 July 09
GERMAN COAL PRODUCTION DECREASED BY 31% TO ROUND 3.4 MILLION TON IN 1Q 2009 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, HAMBURG
COALspot.com (Germany):
World Coal Market
According to analysis of VEREIN DER KOHLENIMPORTEURE E.V. , On a quantity basis the steam coal market is further stable, whereas the Asian market is supported by imports from China and India.
In view of the background of weaker industrial activity, the demand for steam coal in the Atlantic area is modest. The fob prices are slightly sinking connected with intensive swings upward and downward. The coking coal market has seen a sharp fall. The contract prices for the period 2009/2010 have declined by 60 % compared to the contract prices 2008 / 2009 and are partially crumbling.
Despite of lesser bulk commodity volume and further rising fleet capacity, the freight rates have considerably increased very recently. Considering the basis data, this upswing is not explainable. The tendency should rather be a lower freight level.
Hard Coal
Imports regarding the imports of hard coal, coking coal and briquettes for the months January to March 2009, the Federal Statistic Office of Germany determined a decrease of the whole imports by 14.6 % to 10,934,068 ton compared to the previous year.
"Energy Prices in 1Q 2009 the BAFA price in average was 91.24 Euro / TCE" German Coal Importers Association
Germany Domestic Coal – 1Q 2009
Due to the closures of the mines Saar, Walsum & Lippe , the German production decreased by 31 % to round 3.4 million t in 1Q 2009 in comparison with the previous year. Extrapolated there might be reached a whole production of 13-14 million ton in 2009.
In 1Q 2009 the coke production decreased by round 20 %. Due to the steel crisis, the coking plant Prosper operates curbed at 70 % and beyond that coke is dumped. The performance per man and shift in the mines declined by 25 %.
This is partly in consequence of the closures of the high efficient mines Ensdorf and Walsum. The sales of German coal fell from 5.8 million ton by 2.5 million t to 3.3 million ton. The biggest part of the decline in sales is due to the slowdown in German industrial production. The stocks rose by 0.6 million ton to 4.3 million ton. Until May 2009 the stocks increased to round 5 million ton.
The difficult sales situation continues. The steel boom and the expected shortages caused the coking coal prices in 2008 to rise to historic record heights. At this time, deductions of 60% are being negotiated, but it remains to be seen whether this price level, which is still high, will be able to stay here in view of the weak demand.Coke prices fell as well. For all practical purposes, the world market for coke collapsed in the first quarter of 2009. Instead of the normal 3 million ton, the world market leader China exported a mere 150,000 ton in the first quarter 2009.
" Nevertheless, the official export prices amount to round US$ 400.00. But in Europe comparable coke is traded at US$ 190.00 " German Coal Importers Association
Freight Rates
Freight rates reached historic record highs in 2008. The freight rate Richards Bay – Rotterdam for Cape size ships rose to US$ 50/ton, only to crash to US$ 5 / ton (–90%) by December 2008.
In the meantime, freight rates have recovered slightly and are again on the rise. However, the overall expectation is that the sinking volume of bulk cargo on the world market and rising fleet capacity will prevent any excessive fluctuations for the moment.
Germany
Germany’s coal market shrank by about 5 million t in 2008. But since domestic output fell by almost 4 million t, imports remained stable. There were virtually no effects on quantities from the steel crisis in 2008.
We expect a substantial decline in imports of 22% for 2009, a consequence of the steel crisis and a lower demand for electric power. While in the past the onus of adapting to collapses in demand fell on German coal production, there will this year, for the first time, be a major blow on import coal, but the great flexibility of the world market means that there will not be any problems adjusting to this situation.
Import prices for steam coal are also falling quickly. Prices fell to €83 t/TCE in March 2009 from the highest value of the border-crossing price (BAFA price) of €136 t/TCE in August 2008. We expect the price to continue to decline to €65-70 t/TCE by the end of 2009.
"As the US dollar is once again showing a weakening tendency, imports in Euros could become cheaper" German Coal Importers Association
Outlook 2009
World coal production in 2009 will continue to increase as a consequence of the great demand for electric power in the Asian region. But this growth will be weaker than in the past. China, India and Indonesia are planning significant increases in output.
World trade in steam coal will presumably remain stable, but the coking coal world market will probably decline by 40–50 million ton or 20% – 25%. The pendulum has swung back to a buyer’s market and will undoubtedly keep pressure on the world market prices for coking coal and steam coal in 2009.
The years 2007 and 2008 were marked by high investment spending in the coal mining industry worldwide. After an estimation of IEA for 2009 a reduction by round 40 % is expected.
Short-term – i.e. in the following 2 – 3 years, the reduced investment activity might not impact the markets. It has also to be concerned, that coal projects in 2 – 5 years and in this way in comparison to crude oil and gas projects – can go into production in the short run.
Analyzed by: KOHLENIMPORTEURE E.V. (Coal Importers Association), Hamburg
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Friday, 17 July 09
CHINA COAL-SPOT PRICES EDGE LOWER, SUPPLY APLENTY
China Mining reported that, spot prices in China's top coal shipping port Qinhuangdao edged lower from a week earlier, as supply grew, offsetting t ...
Friday, 17 July 09
THE NEW LAW OF MINERAL AND COAL MINING NO 4/2009 CREATE CONDUCIVE CLIMATE OF INVESTMENT IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com (Indonesia): The new Law of Mineral and Coal Mining No 4/2009, which replaces the old mining law No. 11/1967 has been signed by the Pre ...
Friday, 17 July 09
INDIA COAL TRADERS MUST OWN POWER, MINES - C&O BOSS
· Coal traders need to diversify to grow
· Coastal Energen to build first merchant power plant
· Tamil Nadu to see st ...
Friday, 17 July 09
CHINA SHENHUA ENERGY'S COAL OUTPUT SWELLS 17.6% IN H1
China Knowledge reported that, China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd, which is engaged in the coal mining, power generation and transportation businesses, on ...
Thursday, 16 July 09
CHINA ISSUES SECOND BATCH OF '09 EXPORT QUOTAS
China has issued 25 million tonnes of coal export quotas for the second batch this year, the National Development and Reform Commission said Wednesd ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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