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Wednesday, 17 July 13
TORN BETWEEN A CREDIT CRUNCH AND SUSTAINABLE GROWTH - GEORGE DERMATIS
COALspot.com: In 2012 China expanded at a rate of 7.8%, its worst annual performance in 13 years, raising criticism over the newly appointed government's stance towards growth. As the first half of 2013 progressed, market pundits and analysts alike realized that the much trailed big and painful shift in China's GDP model is truly underway...
Any skeptics of the above claim, feel free to ask the Chinese banks who felt the wrath of government regulators last month as the cash crunch in China's interbank lending market has only further exposed the fundamental problem of its economic distortions. For policymakers who are still pondering whether to pursue restructuring or growth, the answer seems more obvious than ever: there can be no growth without restructuring.
Over the past 10 years China has relied on a development model that uses high debt towards large –predominantly state owned - companies to finance growth, with much of the capital invested in unproductive sectors such as property and financial products. Regulators seem to understand that sustainability cannot occur without targeting the problems of excess capacity and high debt through the encouragement/development of private enterprises. Support should only follow companies that can survive in a competitive arena and what better
industry to challenge the boundaries of international competition than shipping.
It is easy for shipping analysts and all other parties involved within the maritime industry to relate themselves with inefficiencies of Chinese finance; whilst “too big to fail” companies keep receiving finance and loans for over leveraged projects based on exuberant asset values, there are serious, conservative and cash rich private entities that are below the radar of most Chinese banks.
Clearly the fewer distortions in an economy, the faster the market can recover and adjust. As China is following the same route of most western economies in deleveraging to bring risks down, one must not forget that China is in a much better position now that the USA was 5 years ago; "Insurance companies, social security funds, foreign exchange savings and private savings are all sources that could be tapped to meet the demand for capital".
Eventually, some measures, including the intensified property tightening campaign, new rules to curb misuse of public funds and the exit from some previous stimulus policies, have taken their toll on growth and whilst analysts argue this is only for the short term, it remains to be seen what the nett effect will be for the long run. Whilst many “western” reports have once again taken their typical stance of overly dramatizing the position of the Chinese economy, we must not forget that policymakers in China were the ones who shed light on these issues and look determined in carving the path for future sustainable growth.
My intention to spend more space and analyze my ideas about the need for growth-even at slower pace-in China was abruptly hushed by news this morning that the government of Enrique Pepa Nieto, the President of Mexico has announced its new six-year plan to invest $316bn in new roads, railways, telecoms, infrastructure and significant port overhauling... rings any bells???
Chartering (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Firm+ )
The Dry Bulk index was back on the rise this week as both Capes and Panamaxes gained from firmer activity in the Atlantic basin. This may well be the last surge before the summer lull so owners are hoping that they can keep the momentum for as long as they can in the hope that they will keep rates fairly buoyant in August.
The BDI closed today (16/07/2013) at 1152 points, up by 1 point compared to Monday’s levels (15/07/2013) and an increase of 32 points compared to previous Tuesday’s levels (09/07/2013).
Things were not so positive this week in the crude oil carriers, were we saw a drop all around caused by the coinciding of decreased demand and firmer bunker prices. The BDTI Monday (15/07/2013), was at 611 points, up by 5 points and the BCTI at 574, an increase of 15 points compared to the previous Monday’s levels (08/07/2013).
Broker's insight
by George Dermatis,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com and subject to COALspot.com's disclaimer clause. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here.
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Friday, 24 May 13
OPG POWER VENTURES OF INDIA LOOKING FOR 210,000 MT OF 4,200 GAR INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL
COALspot.com - OPG Power Ventures Plc (OPG) is an AIM listed (London Stock Exchange) and fast growing developer and operator of power plants in Indi ...
Thursday, 23 May 13
HANDY : THE ATLANTIC MARKET REMAINS UNCHANGED - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Atlantic market remains unchanged. USG-Feast rates were around USD 19k. Little change from last week in the Pacific, fewer stems and tonn ...
Thursday, 23 May 13
COLOMBIA SHIPPED 11.74 MILLION TONS OF THERMAL COAL IN Q1
COALspot.om - Colombia produced about 18,388,972.94 mt of coal for the first quarter of 2013.
Q1' 2013 coal production was around 21.42 p ...
Wednesday, 22 May 13
COKAL SIGNS JV WITH MDM, FOR BARITO RIVER BARGING
COALspot.com - Cokal Limited (ASX: CKA) has announced that it has entered into a 50:50 Joint Venture (JV) with Meratus Advance Maritime (MDM) one of ...
Tuesday, 21 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT COAL SHIPMENTS SEEN FALLING WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,205,024 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 20 May 2013, Newcast ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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