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Tuesday, 07 July 09
POWER - STATION COAL MAY RISE ON CHINA DEMAND, SUPPLIES, UBS SAYS


Power-station coal prices in Asia may increase in 2010 because of higher demand from China, the second-largest energy-consuming nation, and supply constraints, UBS AG said.

UBS has raised its 2010 forecast for the benchmark coal grade burned by Japanese utilities to $90 a metric ton from $80 a ton in 2010, analysts from the bank wrote in a report dated yesterday. Power-station coal prices at Australia’s Newcastle port, an Asian benchmark, climbed 6.5 percent to $73.13 a ton in the week ended July 3, according to the globalCOAL NEWC Index.

Bottlenecks at Australian ports, heavy rain in Indonesia and increased imports by China constrained supplies of the fuel to Asian customers in 2007 and drove up prices. Market conditions are expected to tighten starting in the fourth quarter of this year and peak in 2011, UBS said.

“We are once again experiencing an increasingly tighter coal market with a theme developing similar to 2007,” UBS analysts led by Jakarta-based Andreas Bokkenheuser said in the note. China, the biggest producer and consumer of coal, burns the fuel to generate about 80 percent of its electricity.

Power use is increasing in China, as light industries step up production, after heavy industrial growth recovered in June, the UBS analysts said. Australian and Indonesian supply growth remains low and mining shutdowns in China’s Shanxi province have added to regional supply constraints, UBS said.

Price estimates for 2011 to 2013 have been reduced to factor in a possible supply response as coal producers address shortages, the analysts said.
Source: Bloomberg
(
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aYezGDx3lDu4)



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Recent News

Thursday, 04 June 09
ASIA COAL - PRICES RISE TO 31/2 MTH HIGH ON OIL, ECONOMY - INTERACTIVE INVESTOR
Interactive Investor reported that, Prices of power-station coal from Australia, a benchmark for Asia, rose to a three-and-a-half-month high of over ...


Thursday, 04 June 09
PTT: RESTRUCTURING BUSINESS, DIVERSIFYING INTO COAL - EASYBOURSE
Thailand's largest energy conglomerate, PTT PCL (PTT.TH), will diversify into coal as part of its business restructuring, Senior Executive Vice Pre ...


Thursday, 04 June 09
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Publicly listed PT Adaro Energy, the country's second largest coal miner, announced Wednesday it had secured three new coal contracts from buyers f ...


Wednesday, 03 June 09
XSTRATA, KOMIPO AGREE SOME '09 COAL TONNAGE AT $63/T- REUTERS
South Korean utility Korea Midland Power Co (KOMIPO) has agreed to buy part of its 2009 term contract tonnage from Xstrata's coal unit at about $63 ...


Wednesday, 03 June 09
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Korea South-East Power Co Ltd (KOSEP) has issued four tenders seeking a total of 3 million tonnes of coal for delivery between 2009 to 2011, a tende ...


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