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Sunday, 24 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS OFFER ROOM FOR RESTRAINED OPTIMISM SAYS SHIP OWNER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its announcement regarding its annual performance, ship owner Frontline offered some useful insight on the future prospects of both the dry bulk and tanker market segments. In the dry bulk market, there's room for optimism as a result of an expected sharp decline of newbuilding deliveries over the next two years. "With the same delivery ratio we have experienced over the last three years approximately 60 million dwt should be delivered this year, while the order book for 2014 is 25 million dwt for the entire dry bulk sector" Frontline said.
According to the company's announcement, dry bulk transportation increased by around seven percent in 2012, however, due to the high number of new vessels entering the market, fleet utilization decreased. Given a net fleet growth of approximately 11 percent, the estimated utilization of the dry bulk fleet was on average 83 percent in 2012. Consequently spot earnings were low. The capesize and panamax segments both earned on average approximately $7,650 per day according to The Baltic Exchange. Around 220 capesizes and 375 panamaxes were delivered in 2012, still this was 30 percent lower than the official order book at the beginning of the year. At the same time approximately 90 capesizes and 135 panamaxes were sold for scrap. For the dry bulk fleet as a whole 35 million dwt were scrapped against 95 million dwt of deliveries.
Moving on to the more positive prospects, Frontline noted that "the low spot market presently experienced and relatively high scrap prices should encourage more scrapping. Most forecasters are expecting scrapping to remain at similar levels as last year and consequently net fleet growth could be as low as five percent during 2013. The steel industry and energy coal for utilities are accounting for almost 70 percent of dry bulk transportation. For several years the importance of increased steel production and energy consumption in China and the increased dependence of this country for the dry bulk market have been well known. Also in 2012 iron ore and coal imports showed a remarkable growth. Iron ore increased by around eight percent while coal imports increased by almost 30 percent year on year. This was in spite of a much slower growth in steel and energy consumption (2 percent and 3.4 percent respectively)" said Frontline.
It added that "there are a few factors which make most analysts fairly optimistic for dry bulk demand growth going forward. Quality of Chinese domestic iron ore production is on a steady declining trend. Since 2007 China has invested roughly $85 billion in iron ore mining. Over the same period investments per effective ton iron ore produced has increased from $15 per ton in 2007 to $60 per ton in 2012. Adjusting for falling Fe content, effective iron ore production in 2012 is broadly at the same level as in 2007. Even in a modest steel growth scenario for China most forecasters believe in a continued strong growth in iron ore imports. According to Fearnleys the Capesize fleet (150-200' dwt) totaled 1022 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, an increase of 3 vessels from the previous quarter. The order book counted 94 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter compared to 106 vessels the previous quarter, representing 9.2 percent of the Capesize fleet" the ship owner concluded.
In the crude tanker market, Frontline noted that "current market forward rates are approximately $12,000 per day in the first quarter of 2013. Bunkers at Fujairah averaged $615/mt in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to $650/mt in the third quarter of 2012. Bunker prices varied between a low of $593/mt on November 5th and a high of $655/mt on October 1st. The International Energy Agency's ("IEA") February 2013 report stated an OPEC oil production, including Iraq, of 30.9 million barrels per day (mb/d) in Q4. This was a decrease of 0.5 mb/d compared to the third quarter of 2012, due to lower Saudi Arabian production in November and December. The IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged 91.0 mb/d in the fourth quarter of 2012, which is an increase of 0.8 mb/d compared to previous quarter and the IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged approximately 89.8 mb/d in 2012, representing an increase of 1.1 percent or 1.0 mb/d from 2011. 2013 demand is expected to be 90.7 mb/d.
The VLCC fleet totalled 622 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 617 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 11 VLCCs were delivered during the quarter, six were removed. The order book counted 81 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, down from 91 orders from the previous quarter. The current order book represents approximately 13 percent of the VLCC fleet. According to Fearnleys, the single hull fleet is 17 vessels, five less than last quarter.
The Suezmax fleet counts 468 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, up from 462 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 14 vessels were delivered during the quarter whilst eight were removed. The order book counted 72 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, which represents 15 percent of the total fleet. According to Fearnley's, the single hull fleet has been reduced from nine to five vessels" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 03 May 13
SHIP OWNERS ARE INVESTING HEAVILY IN DRY BULK CARRIER NEWBUILDINGS ONCE MORE: IS THERE ANY RATIONALE? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk market remains heavily oversupplied and just as the orderbook of newbuildings had began to shrink, it seems that sh ...
Wednesday, 01 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 23.14 PER CENT MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,997,729 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 29 April 2013, Newca ...
Tuesday, 30 April 13
KATINGAN RIA THERMAL COAL TO START PRODUCTION FROM EARLY 2014
COALspot.com - Realm Resources Ltd. (ASX: RRP) has announced the completion of the Feasibility Study for its 51% owned Katingan Ria thermal co ...
Monday, 29 April 13
FIRST TRADES OF SGX API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP
COALspot.com - The SGX API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap went live for clearing on SGX-DC today with a total volume of 25,000 metric tonnes (25 lots). ...
Sunday, 28 April 13
SUB BIT INDONESIA COAL & CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS STAY POSITIVE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average May 2013 delivery has gained 0.34 percent and CFR South China coal shipment gai ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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