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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 31 January 13
DRY BULK RATES ON A FALLING PATTERN DUE TO ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The seasonal factor has emerged as the latest catalyst in determining the course of the dry bulk market, as the floods in eastern Australia, the big ...
Thursday, 31 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.70 MMT OF COAL W/E 28 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,703,921 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 28 January 2013, Newca ...
Thursday, 31 January 13
MMTC TO IMPORT 2.68 MMT OF COAL FOR ARAVALI POWER CORPORATION LTD
COALspot.com: The tender floated by MMTC on behalf of Aravali Power Corporation Ltd, a Joint venture between NTPC and State of Haryana for supply of ...
Wednesday, 30 January 13
TNPL TO SECURE 300K MT OF IMPORTED COAL SUPPLIES AT US$ 75.95 PMT FOR MARCH - AUGUST 2013 DELIVERY
COALspot.com – Chennai based Coastal Energy Private Limited (C&O Group of companies) offered lowest price of US$ 75.95 per met ...
Monday, 28 January 13
BAYAN RESOURCES TO SELL 18 MILLION TONS OF COAL TO GNPOWER MARIVELES COAL PLANT
Publicly-listed PT Bayan Resources announced on Friday that it had signed an agreement on coal sales with Philippine-based GNPower Mariveles Coal Pl ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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