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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 24 February 13
COAL SWAPS INCH UP WEEK - ON - WEEK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.17 percent and CFR South China coal shipme ...
Sunday, 24 February 13
BDI FELL 1.72 PERCENT BUT FREIGHT MARKET FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady this week but, BDI fell1.72 pct and closed at 740 points.
The cape index also joins BDI ...
Saturday, 23 February 13
IHS MCCLOSKEY 20TH ANNUAL COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
IHS McCloskey 20th Annual Coal Conference of the Americas to be held on 13-14 March 2013 in Cartagena, Colombia
IHS is pleased to invite you to t ...
Thursday, 21 February 13
HANDY : THE PACIFIC MARKET GOT FIRMED UP AS CHINESE CAME BACK FROM HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic saw more cargoes than last week but rates remained unchanged as lot of ships in the market. The USG-Feast was at USD 18k and Bla ...
Thursday, 21 February 13
SPRING COAL PROCUREMENT 2013 IS ABOUT TO TAKE PLACE
In 2012, “Steady Growth” had set the keynote for China’s economic development. Guided by the principle of progressing steadily, do ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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