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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 19 April 13
FIRST QUARTER OF 2013 PROVEN A POSITIVE SURPRISE FOR DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite ominous predictions regarding the negative performance of the dry bulk market during the – traditionally weak anyway – first qua ...
Thursday, 18 April 13
HANDY: STABLE ; PANAMAX: BUSY WEEK - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Atlantic markets remain stable in this week. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 12k. The Pacific market is bit f ...
Thursday, 18 April 13
FEATURE: PREDICTING THE FUTURE - AND THE PAST - BIMCO
It’s not predicting the future that is problematical, it’s the realisation that you have to relive the past again and again when you fai ...
Wednesday, 17 April 13
INDONESIA SHIPPED 80 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN FIRST QUARTER - COAL DIRECTOR
COALspot.com - Indonesia has exported around 80 million tons of coal including power plant coal in first three months of this year.
Speaking on t ...
Tuesday, 16 April 13
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S COAL EXPORTS JUMPED 20.87 PER CENT ON WEEK TO 3.07 MMT
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,077,431 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 15 April 2013, Newca ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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