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Thursday, 14 February 13
BIMCO FORECASTS MOSTLY HIGHER DRY BULK RATES FOR THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Higher steel demand is expected to keep dry bulk rates elevated during the next six weeks, according to the latest BIMCO forecast. The Organization said in a report yesterday, that Capesize TC average rates are expected to stay elevated around USD 4,500-8,500 per day. Panamax is expected to be found in the USD 3,500-8,500 per day interval. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates to remain in the USD 6,000-9,500 per day interval, whereas Handysize rates are forecast to stay at the interval of USD 5,000-8,000 per day.
Justifying its predictions, BIMCO said that "following the scary dip in the strength of the Chinese steel market during third quarter 2012 – a dip that landed a huge blow to an already shaken shipping industry confidence – steel demand now appears to be back on track. Going forward, BIMCO expect Chinese iron ore demand to be amongst the strong demand drivers in 2013" it said.
The report added that "global steel production reached 1,548 million tons last year – the highest figure ever. Asia increased its production by 2.6% compared to 2011, where China and India in particular accounted for the expansion. North American steel production increased by 2.5%, but the sheer size of their output is only one-eighth of Asia’s. The EU, producing slightly more than North America, cut back on its production of steel by 4.5%. Going forward, BIMCO expects that a bettering of the European Economy will normalise crude steel production, bringing it up to a higher level and thus also leading to higher demand for iron ore from Europe. The demand for coal may be affected by the new Chinese fiveyear energy plan, which outlines a target of limiting the annual primary energy consumption to 4 billion tonnes of coal equivalent by 2015. The cap could turn out as a positive story for the dry bulk segment, as Chinese coal is of a lower quality than imported coal. If coal plants want to increase their power output for a capped amount of coal, their best option is to use the imported coal. Even though we are seeing a pretty picture of demand, overcapacity in the market prevents freight rates from flying high" it noted.
In terms of supply, 2013 marks a new start in terms of a downward sloping trend. This stands in very positive opposition to the case of the previous four years with escalating deliveries. According to BIMCO, "2013 is likely to see 66 million DWT delivered, representing a significantly lower level than in 2012. Deliveries in January of 8.1 million DWT represent a 7-month high, as the slow-down in deliveries during the second half of 2012 was significant. This is in line with our forecast of a “front-end loaded” year, where the strongest inflow is expected to take place during the first half year. Throughout the whole of 2012, just 278 new contracts for dry bulkers were signed. This was the slowest contracting year since 2001, representing a much needed and very positive development. Owner’s hesitations were especially pronounced in the last four months of 2012. January, however, marks a new beginning, with a 12-months high level at 2.3 million DWT of fresh newbuilding orders. The tally is much impacted by the 8 Capesize orders at Chinese yards due for delivery in 2014 and 2015. BIMCO expects demolition activity to remain strong in 2013 at 3.6% of total fleet. This is building on top of 2011 and 2012, which saw strong activity at 4.0% and 5.2% of the total dry bulk fleet being sold for demolition. The total dry bulk order book currently stands at 130.8 million DWT, a level not seen since May 2007. 52.6 million DWT (661 in numbers) represents Panamax tonnage (60,000-120,000 DWT), whereas 44.5 (207 in numbers) represent Capesize tonnage (+176,000 DWT). 45% of January deliveries landed in the Panamax segment whereas 32% entered the Capesize fleet" BIMCO said.
It added that "the combined sale and purchase activity (in numbers) in the three main shipping segments (dry bulk, tankers and containerships) were the highest on record since 2008 according to Vesselsvalue.com. But if you judge it by value, it was the lowest during the same period of time. Peaking in 2010 at USD 20 billion, the total sales value of 2012 was only USD 10 billion. The numbers are impacted by lower prices and a higher age of the traded assets. A total of 836 sales were concluded, out of which 452 were in the dry bulk segment, at a value of USD 5.2 billion. The Panamax and Capesize segments saw the largest increase of activity from 2011 to 2012 at 106% and 103% respectively".
In terms of demand, BIMCO expects that for 2013, the majority of the strong Chinese iron ore demand will benefit seaborne imports, as the preference for imported iron ore continues to be strong. In spite of a strong demand for this key commodity, earnings have been modest on the reference routes from Tubarão (Brazil) and Western Australia to Baoshan (China), reflecting an oversupply of Capesize vessels.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 15 February 13
2ND ANNUAL INDONESIA MINING 2013 CONFERENCE
Bringing Indonesia's Mining Stakeholders Together Towards Improving Mining Investment Climate & Operations
Following the success of th ...
Friday, 15 February 13
SCRAPPING TO RISE AS BULKER OWNERS SUFFER - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Drewry's latest Dry Bulk Forecaster report suggests that cash-strapped shipowners will scrap younger and younger ships this year as the dry bulk ma ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
HANDY: ATLANTIC "STABLE"; PACIFIC "QUIET" - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic remain stable with rates for FH from USG around USD 18k. The Pacific remains quiet due to Chinese New Year holidays. Rates were ...
Wednesday, 13 February 13
6TH ANNUAL CBM CONFERENCE
The 6th Annual CBM conference which will be held in Singapore on 18-21 June 201 offers comprehensive insights into leading CBM projects in the Asia- ...
Tuesday, 12 February 13
GOVERNMENT DECLARED INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL PRICE INCHES UP IN FEBRUARY
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal has moved upwards in February 2013.
The monthly coal refere ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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